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3.1 The total number of 16-21 year olds in the population fell from 503,800 in 1987 to 384,000 in 1997, a decrease of 23 per cent. Over the same period, the number in the 16 year old age group fell from 79,200 in 1987 to 58,800 in 1993 (a drop of over a quarter) before rising to 65,700 in 1997.
3.2 Based on the latest population projections (1996-based) from the Government Actuary’s Department adjusted to produce end-year population estimates, the number of 16-21 year olds in Scotland is projected to remain fairly stable in the period up to 2010, at around 390,000. The number in the 16 year old age group is projected to fluctuate between 60,000 and 65,000.
3.3 The remainder of this bulletin presents information on participation rates of the 16-21 year old age group in courses of full-time or part-time education. Analyses of their other activities, including participation in employment, non-vocational further education, government employment and training programmes and employer-funded training are currently outwith the scope of this bulletin. There will, however, be some overlap between these activities and the education categories covered in this bulletin; for example many participants on training programmes will undertake part-time courses of further education.
3.4 All figures relating to higher and further education refer to the level of the course of study and not the type of institution attended.
Population estimates/projections of 16-21 year old population
Chart 2
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