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Recorded Crime in Scotland, 1997
6. Crimes and offences cleared up by the police (Table 3 of Appendix)
6.1 The total number of crimes cleared up by the police fell by 1,300 to 164,000 in 1997. Although the number of crimes cleared up fell, the clear-up rate rose from 37 per cent to 39 per cent in 1997 (Table 3). Clear-up rates vary markedly depending on the type of crime and reflect, in part, the differing circumstances in which crimes come to the attention of the police. Property related crimes tend to have comparatively low clear-up rates and this in turn affects the total achieved. Crimes of violence have higher clear-up rates and, for a number of crimes in which identification of the offence and the offender tends to occur simultaneously (for example drugs possession), clear-up rates will tend towards 100 per cent. In other types of crime, the police have the task of finding the offender after the crime is discovered and reported to them.
6.2 Within the crime groups 1 to 5, the clear-up rates increased by one percentage point in all but the crimes of indecency group. The overall clear-up rate for crimes reflects the clear-up rate for the largest group, crimes of dishonesty, and in particular, the most frequently occurring types of crime, housebreaking and theft. In 1997, 1 in 7 thefts by opening a lockfast place, 1 in 5 housebreakings and 1 in 4 thefts of a motor vehicle were recorded as cleared up by the police, which is similar to the rates experienced in 1996.
Chart 4 - Clear-up rates for particular crime groups, 1988-1997

6.3 Most crimes in the group "other crimes", which includes crimes against public justice and drugs related crimes, were cleared up. Similarly, the vast majority of offences in the miscellaneous offences group were cleared up. This reflects the characteristics of such crimes and offences and the method via which they come to the attention of the police since, in many cases (such as drunkenness), the offender is "caught in the act".
7. Number of crimes and offences recorded by police force area (Tables 4a, 4b and 5 of Appendix)
7.1 Strathclyde police recorded 926 crimes per 10,000 population in 1997 - the highest rate of all forces (Tables 4B and 5). Fifty per cent of all crimes recorded in Scotland were in the Strathclyde police force area which contains 44 per cent of the Scottish resident population. Northern Constabulary recorded the lowest number of crimes per 10,000 population (437). Most of the eight police forces showed a fall in the total number of crimes recorded in 1997 when compared with 1996: Tayside (down 16 per cent), Fife (down 9 per cent), Northern (down 8 per cent), Strathclyde (down 7 per cent), Central (down 5 per cent), Lothian & Borders (down 5 per cent) and Grampian (down 3 per cent). Dumfries & Galloway showed an increase of 1 per cent.
Chart 5 - Total number of crimes recorded per 10,000 population in 1996 by police force area

7.2 Crime rates for police force areas include offending by non-residents as well as the resident population. Thus, the high rate of motor vehicle offences recorded in Dumfries & Galloway (almost double the Scottish rate) may reflect the volume of traffic on trunk roads through the area. In addition, the crime rates will reflect local initiatives within forces. For example, the rate for "other" miscellaneous offences in Strathclyde (74 per 10,000 population) may reflect the continuation of Operation Spotlight which targeted public nuisance offences such as the consumption of alcohol in public places etc. Within Dumfries & Galloway the rate for drugs related crimes increased to 71 per 10,000 population in 1997 as a result of Operation MOSS (Making Our Streets Safer) in the early part of 1997 which aimed to target known drug dealers and enforce the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971.
7.3 The Scottish forces had, in 1997, widely differing clear-up rates for crimes, partly reflecting the different characteristics of the areas and the crimes committed. The rates varied from 36 per cent in Strathclyde and Lothian & Borders, 37 per cent in Grampian and Tayside, to 48 per cent in Fife, 57 per cent in Central, 61 per cent in Dumfries & Galloway and 67 per cent in Northern Constabulary.
8. Number of crimes recorded and cleared up by council area (Tables 6, 7 and 8 of Appendix)
Please note that, with effect from I January 1998, Western Isles Council is to be known by it’s Gaelic name, Eilean Siar. The new name has been used in all tables which provide council level detail in this bulletin.
8.1 All forces return information for the councils within their force area (Tables 6 ,7 and 8). The four cities (Glasgow, Aberdeen Dundee and Edinburgh) have high crime rates reflecting, in part, the nature of a city, i.e. concentrated resident population, large numbers of commuters and tourists and a concentrated number of retail outlets etc. In 1997 Glasgow City had the highest rate for non-sexual crimes of violence and crimes of indecency. Inverclyde had the highest incidence of domestic housebreaking. (Table 8).
8.2 In addition to the four cities, there were three councils within Strathclyde police force area which had overall crime rates in excess of the rate for Scotland as a whole: West Dunbartonshire (1,047 per 10,000 population), Inverclyde (976) and Renfrewshire (943). The crime rates for individual council areas varied significantly from 171 per 10,000 population in the Orkney Islands to 1,448 in Glasgow City.
8.3 Chart 6 overleaf shows the number of recorded crimes of domestic housebreaking per 10,000 population by council area. These figures include houses, garages and garden sheds.
Chart 6 - Number of crimes of domestic housebreaking recorded by the police per 10,000 population

9. Additional information : Scottish Crime Survey
9.1. The preceding sections of this bulletin described in detail the volume and types of crime recorded and cleared up by the eight police forces in Scotland during 1997. The recorded crime series is a useful indicator of trends in recorded crime. However, not all crimes are reported to the police and, of those crimes that are, not all are subsequently recorded (if the police are of the opinion that a crime has not taken place). The propensity of the public to report crime to the police also changes over time. Thus, statistics recorded by the police may not accurately reflect the underlying trend in all crime.
9.2. Crime surveys can be a useful source of information by providing a fuller picture of the extent of and trends in most types of household and personal victimisation. The information provided by such surveys complements the information compiled by the police forces and provides another useful indicator as well as exploring other issues such as the impact of crime on victims, fear of crime and attitudes towards the police.
9.3. Since the publication of the 1996 statistical bulletin in the recorded crime series, the initial findings from the 1996 Scottish Crime Survey (SCS) have been published. The Scottish Crime Survey is a large scale household survey of public experiences and perceptions of crime, based on interviews with over 5,000 adults across Scotland. The 1996 SCS relates to crimes reported to have occurred during the calendar year 1995.
9.4. A summary of the main findings from the 1996 SCS (and earlier sweeps of the survey) are detailed below. Like the recorded crime series, the SCS cannot provide a complete picture of crime in Scotland. The SCS does not collect information about crimes committed against public or corporate bodies and individuals not resident in households. Information on those aged less than 16 is limited to the age range 12 to 15 and is not as comprehensive as the information for those aged 16 or over. Furthermore, the SCS is dependent on the willingness of respondents to take part in the survey and to remember incidents and report them accurately. Finally, the SCS results, like those from any sample survey, are also subject to sampling error.
9.5. The main findings from the 1996 SCS are summarised in bullet form below. Further details can be found in Crime and Criminal Justice Research Findings No. 16 "The 1996 Scottish Crime Survey : First Results", which was published in September 1997.

  • Estimates derived from the 1996 SCS suggest that in 1995 just under 1 million crimes were committed against individuals and private households in Scotland. This was 8 per cent less than the number of crimes estimated in the 1993 SCS.

  • For each crime group in 1995 the estimated number of crimes returned to a level close to, or below, 1981 estimates. Approximately 1 in 4 people had been the victim of at least one crime covered by the survey during 1995. Approximately 70 per cent of these were crimes against property and, of these, about half involved motor vehicle offences.

  • Only certain categories of crime are directly comparable between the SCS figures and the police statistics. For the sub-set of comparable crimes which can be compared with the police recorded crime statistics, namely vandalism, housebreaking, theft of a motor vehicle, theft of a bicycle, robbery and assault, the number of comparable crimes recorded by the police in 1995 was 37 per cent of the total number of crimes estimated by the SCS. This proportion was similar to that recorded for 1992.

  • Victims of crime were asked whether the incident had been reported to the police. The earlier surveys showed a sizeable increase in reporting between 1981 and 1992; from 38 per cent in 1981 to 44 per cent in 1987 and 55 per cent in 1992. The results of the 1996 SCS show that this steady increase has tailed off, with half of all crimes being reported to the police in 1995.

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