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Report on the circumstances leading to the 1996 outbreak of infection with E.coli 0157 in Central Scotland, the implications for food safety and the lessons to be learned.
 
ANNEX VIII
(Para 11.8 refers)
 
CENTRAL SCOTLAND E.COLI PROJECT RESEARCH GROUP: SUGGESTED TOPICS FOR RESEARCH BASED ON CENTRAL SCOTLAND OUTBREAK DATA
 
Clinical
 
Estimation of factors predisposing to, or predictive of, deterioration, eg age, concomitant disease, length of incubation, serological response.
 
Evaluation of clinical regimes (eg plasma exchange) by comparison of different treatment groups.
 
Documentation of outcome by long term follow up eg: stool culture for estimation of length of convalescent E.coli excretion; estimation of long term stool and serum antibody response to infection; evaluation of long term gastrointestinal and extra-gastrointestinal complications, including late mortality.
 
Linkage with other research groups to elucidate wider issues, eg:-
a. with the Newcastle group on genetics of renal disease;
b. with the Edinburgh group on blood group secretion and the development of serious infection or complications; and
c. with the Manchester group on monoclonal antibodies.
 
Microbiological
 
1. A quantitative study of toxin levels in E.coli O157 positive stool samples at various stages of the disease, and in patients with varying presentations and disease severity.
 
2. An evaluation of the specificity of serology for antibodies to E.coli O157 by immunoblotting, compared to conventional and dynabead culture, and exploration of the possibility for cross reactions in other enteric infections eg campylobacter spp.
 
3. Evaluation of the sensitivity of conventional E.coli O157 stool culture at first line laboratories, compared with immunomagnetic separation: retrospectively at the reference laboratory and prospectively at first line laboratories.
 
4. A quantitative study of IgM and IgA in sera (paired where available) obtained from cases, and asymptomatic excreters, identified in the course of the outbreak.
 
Epidemiological, environmental, economic, and social
 
1. Study of the determinants of secondary spread.
 
2. Assessment of the relative importance of cross-contamination and the asymptomatic food handler in the Central Scotland and similar outbreaks.
 
3. Full socio-economic appraisal of the Central Scotland outbreak, its consequences, and the costs and benefits of the public health intervention.
 
4. Appraisal of the public perception of the outbreak.
 
5. Evaluation of the effectiveness of communications of risk to public.
 
6. Assessment of the role of the media.
       
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