The Chief Medical Officers of each of the four United Kingdom countries have received the latest predictions on the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) epidemic in cattle produced by the Wellcome Trust Centre for the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease at the University of Oxford.
Over the past six months they have reviewed the position of the bone in beef ban in the light of surveillance of the variant Creutzfeldt Jakob (vCJD) incidence in the human population, trends in the BSE epidemic in cattle (including the latest estimates from the Oxford group), and audits of the control measures which are in place to exclude potentially infected BSE material entering the human food chain.
They are reassured by the continuing decline of the BSE epidemic in cattle. In particular the latest Oxford estimate that the number of BSE infected cattle under 30 months which could enter the human food chain within 12 months of clinical infection is now estimated as only 1.2 cattle across Great Britain as a whole in the year 2000 (with a margin of error on this estimate of 0 to 4 cattle).
On the basis of their discussions and this analysis they have concluded that:
Sir David Carter, Chief Medical Officer Scotland
Dr Ruth Hall, Chief Medical Officer Wales
Dr Henrietta Campbell, Chief Medical Officer Northern Ireland
Professor Liam Donaldson, Chief Medical Officer England
30th November 1999
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