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Scottish Corporate Sector Statistics - Methodology

Methodologies and Sources

The estimates have been constructed using data from the Inter-Departmental Business Register (IDBR), the Labour Force Survey (LFS), the Family Resources Survey (FRS) and the Survey of Personal Incomes (SPI). The IDBR extract provides an estimate of the number of enterprises registered for VAT and/or PAYE. A modelling procedure that combines data from the IDBR with estimates derived from the LFS, FRS and SPI is used to estimate the number of unregistered enterprises. The principles of the model were developed by economic consultants working with the Department of Trade and Industry and Eurostat.

It should be borne in mind that the number of enterprises with no employees which are not registered on the IDBR is significant. These are estimated from a combination of sample surveys which are all subject to sampling error. For example a yearly estimate of 6,000 taken from the Labour Force Survey has a 95% confidence interval of +/- 2,640. It is the nature of sampling variability that the smaller the group whose size is being estimated, the proportionately less precise that estimate is. Very small estimates are subject to larger standard errors, which can result in fluctuation between years. For this reason year on year comparisons containing the smallest size band (enterprises with no employees) should be regarded with extreme caution.

The estimates:

  • Include enterprises that operate in Scotland irrespective of whether their head office is located in Scotland or elsewhere;
  • Count enterprises only once (in Tables 1, 2 and 3) or once each in each of the local areas they operate in, irrespective of the number of local units they maintain; estimates of the number of local units (or business sites) is provided in Table 8;
  • Include enterprises from the sources described above, as follows (in 2009): 124,000 private enterprises were registered for VAT and 29,000 for PAYE only; to this 136,500 enterprises with zero employees are added, estimated on the basis of LFS, FRS and SPI figures;
  • Employment and turnover values were calculated for all enterprises, however turnover values for Financial Intermediation enterprises have been excluded, as these are not available on a comparable basis.

Registered Enterprises

1. Registered Enterprises

These are estimated from Scottish extracts of the IDBR taken in March of each year (prior to 2005 the November extract was used).

1.1 Time Period Covered

The estimate of registered enterprises is based on a snapshot from the IDBR in March of each year (prior to 2005 the November snapshot was used). A count of the IDBR enterprises that were "live" at the snapshot date is achieved by referring to each enterprise's recorded start date and, where appropriate, its closure date. The reporting of these dates is subject to a number of time delays. For example when an enterprise closes there may be a delay before HMRC, who collect VAT, are informed. Closure of the VAT record may then be delayed until all liabilities are settled. There may also be lags in recording PAYE data.

1.2 Employment

The employment information on the IDBR is drawn mainly from the Business Register Survey (BRS). Because this is based on a sample of enterprises, estimates from previous returns and from other ONS surveys have also been used. For the smallest units, either PAYE jobs or employment imputed from VAT turnover is used.

Companies with only one employee (who is also the employer) are treated as a self-employed person working in a firm with zero employees unless the enterprise is part of an enterprise group. As these companies provide no employment for others it is more consistent to classify them as enterprises with no employees.

1.3 Turnover

Turnover, on the IDBR for registered enterprises, for the majority of traders is based on VAT returns for a 12 month period. For 2009 these relate to a 12 month period ending in December 2007, or January/February 2008, according to the reporting pattern of the trader. For other records, in particular members of VAT group registrations; turnover may relate to an earlier period or survey data. For traders who have registered more recently, turnover represents the estimate made by traders at the time of registration. The turnover figures on the IDBR generally exclude VAT but include other taxes, such as the revenue duties on alcoholic drinks and tobacco.

1.4 Exclusions

Enterprises with no UK activity or dummy enterprises created to help with clerical procedures are excluded. Enterprises which have zero employment and zero turnover are also excluded as they are holding companies whose activity is recorded elsewhere or are enterprises not contributing to the economy at the time of the estimates.

There were a few instances where several registrations for a single company (usually VAT registrations) occurred at the same address. This may be a result of a legal loophole created as a result of changes in legislation. The Office for National Statistics now exclude these from their publications as the figures would overstate the actual number of businesses in existence and their associated employment in local area tables. Please note the tables up to and including 2001 have not been amended to reflect these changes.

1.5 Comparisons with other analyses

All tables (excluding Table A and Table 4) focus on the business sector - that is companies, sole traders, partnerships, public corporations/nationalised bodies and not for profit organisations - and exclude central and local government. This differs from the ONS publication "UK Business: Activity, Size and Location" which includes the public sector.

1.6 Reclassifications

Primary Care NHS Trusts and all remaining NHS Trusts were re-classified by the Office for National Statistics to the public sector in 2001 and 2003 respectively. This was done to bring 2003 Standard Industrial Classification in line with international guidelines for National Accounts. The change transferred 54,200 and 95,530 jobs from the business sector to the public sector in 2001 and 2003. This has led to a discontinuity between tables as previously, tables included this employment.

Unregistered Enterprises

2. Unregistered Enterprises

The Labour Force Survey provides data on self-employment without employees (as first or second job). The figure for second jobs is augmented by data from the Family Resources Survey on self-employment in third jobs.

2.1 Estimation

This estimate of the total number of self-employed jobs (with no employees) is compared to the self-employment registered on the IDBR in enterprises with no employees. As many self-employed people are not required to pay VAT or register for PAYE, the figure from the Labour Force Survey is generally higher.

The difference between the two figures, self-employed jobs in unregistered enterprises, can be used as a starting point to estimate the additional sole traders or partners with no employees. The ratio between sole traders and partners is different for each industry and can be obtained from the Survey of Personal Incomes (SPI) (undertaken by the Inland Revenue). Scottish ratios are calculated where statistically reliable, otherwise UK rates are used to derive the number of unregistered enterprises from the number of self-employed jobs in unregistered enterprises. Each of these unregistered enterprises is assumed to provide employment for one (if sole trader) or two (if partnership).

2.2 Time Period Covered

The estimate of unregistered enterprises is driven by the self employment estimates from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). The LFS data used to derive the count of unregistered enterprises covers the period April to March - the estimate of unregistered enterprises for 2009 is derived from LFS data from April 2008 to March 2009.

SPI ratios as at 2006/07 were used to estimate the total number of unregistered enterprises in 2009 as this was the latest data available at the time of analysis.

2.3 Turnover

Turnover in unregistered businesses will generally be lower than that of registered businesses of the same size, as turnover in the former would usually be below the VAT threshold. Turnover for the unregistered enterprises was imputed from turnover per head of registered enterprises with zero employees in that industry division and then scaled down by a factor of a half. For a few 2-digit industry divisions, this still leaves average annual turnover per unregistered business above the VAT threshold. In these cases, the unregistered turnover is reduced to the VAT threshold for that year.

VAT Thresholds

3. VAT Thresholds

Operative Dates

Vat Registration

Threshold

01 Dec 1997 - 31 Mar 1998£49,000
01 Apr 1998 - 31 Mar 1999£50,000
01 Apr 1999 - 31 Mar 2000£51,000
01 Apr 2000 - 31 Mar 2001£52,000
01 Apr 2001 - 24 Apr 2002£54,000
25 Apr 2002 - 09 Apr 2003£55,000
10 Apr 2003 - 31 Mar 2004£56,000
01 Apr 2004 - 31 Mar 2005£58,000
01 Apr 2005 - 31 Mar 2006£60,000
01 Apr 2006 - 31 Mar 2007£61,000
01 Apr 2007 - 31 Mar 2008£64,000
01 Apr 2008 - 30 Apr 2009£67,000
01 May 2009 -£68,000

Further details on VAT thresholds can be found via the following link - HM Revenue & Customs

Size Bands

4. Size bands

Most Tables are classified by employee size bands on the basis of their total UK employees. The rationale behind this approach is that the size of the overall enterprise determines its behaviour as an economic agent. An enterprise with a large number of employees in the UK as a whole is likely to behave like a large enterprise, irrespective of its level of Scottish employment.

Table 8 reports on the number of business sites; these are classified by the total number of employees at that site.

Industrial Classification

5. Industrial Classification

The industrial sectors presented in the tables are classified, within the publication, as defined by the 2003 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)1. Industrial sectors in all tables prior to 2004 are as defined by the 1992 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). At the level of detail presented here, there are few differences. The main reclassification concerns head offices. ONS now classify local units as head offices ( SIC 74.15 - holding companies), rather than as the main activity of the business they support. This led to an increase in employment of 580 in SIC 74 in 2003.

5.1 Assigning Enterprises to Sectors

An enterprise is assigned to a sector depending on what SIC sector and then division the majority of Scottish employment is classified as. A change in the balance of employment can lead to some enterprises changing their sector between years.

Table 8 provide sector classification at local site level rather than enterprise level.

Our classification follows the standard coding scheme. Some titles have been shortened to make them more readable. The tables generally exclude central and local government (as defined by the legal status of the enterprise); the small number of enterprises that provide support services to public administration are for these tables included with the sector 'Other community social and personal services'. Extra territorial organisations and private households with employees are excluded.

5.2 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) 2007

The Scottish Corporate Sector Statistics 2009 presents for the last time data on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) 2003 basis. Future editions of Scottish Corporate Sector Statistics publication will be based on the new SIC 2007 basis only.

The SIC 2007 came into effect on 1 January 2008 with all business units on the IDBR dual coded to SIC 2003 and SIC 2007. Therefore, the Scottish Corporate Sector Statistics 2009 tables provide a full time series from 2000 to 2009 on the SIC 2003 basis. However, tables for registered businesses by the new SIC 2007 for 2008 and 2009 are also available on the Scottish Corporate Sector Statistics website to help users to get used to the new classification before the full move to SIC 2007 in 2010.

A note on the impact of the new SIC 2007 classification and the tables for registered business by the new SIC 2007 for 2009 can be found at the following links:

SIC 2007 - Note on the Changes

2009 Registered Enterprise Tables (SIC 2007 basis)

1 However, tables for registered businesses for 2008 and 2009 on SIC 2007 basis are also available on the Corporate Sector Statistics website -http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Business/Corporate

Geographical Analysis

6. Geographical Analysis

The geographical analyses now use a postcode index file from the Office for National Statistics. Unregistered enterprises are not included in the geographical analyses.

Public Sector

7. Public Sector

The analysis of public sector enterprises in Table 4 is different from the other tables. An enterprise is usually assigned to an industry sector depending on what activity the majority of employment does. Public sector enterprises are involved in more varied activities and Table 4 accounts for this by counting an enterprise once in each sector it has an activity in.

Suppression of Data

8. Suppression of Data

The confidentiality of all data held on the IDBR is protected by the Code of Practice for Official Statistics and associated Protocols and by specific legislation. The disclosure of data relating to individual undertakings without consent is prohibited under the Statistics of Trade Act 1947, the Value Added Tax Act 1994 and the Finance Act 1969. In accordance with these requirements, measures have been taken to ensure that no information about individual enterprises or local units are disclosed. All figures in this publication have been rounded to avoid disclosure, and where necessary additional measures have been taken to protect confidentiality.

The number of enterprises/local units are rounded to the nearest 5, employment is rounded to the nearest 10 and turnover is round to the nearest £million.

Revisions

9. Revisions

The system used to estimate the number of un-registered businesses has been improved since the last publication. The estimation has been improved so that the underlying figures are available to more decimal places than previously. This improvement has led to small revisions in the number of unregistered enterprises - and hence all enterprises for 2000 to 2007, as per the table below:

Year

All Private Sector

Enterprises - Old Estimate

All Private Sector

Enterprises - New Estimate

Change
2000236,460237,8300.6%
2001243,400243,9050.2%
2002252,085252,2150.1%
2003262,545262,6250.0%
2004270,245272,0000.6%
2005265,090267,5750.9%
2006265,435267,1600.6%
2007279,495279,4900.0%


Page updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2009