Paper 4:2008
NATIONAL FORUM ON AGEING IMPLEMENTATION GROUP
ALL OUR FUTURES : INDICATORSOF SUCCESS
1. All Our Futures: Planning for a Scotland with an Ageing Population (March 2007) contains a number of commitments, and the Scottish Government is working on implementing these.
2. This paper concerns the commitment to develop indicators of success, which is -
Indicators of success: We will work with the National Forum on Ageing to develop measures to monitor progress in all sectors toward the strategic outcomes. (Vol 1 page 11)
3. The strategic outcomes of All Our Futures are the 6 priority areas listed in All Our Futures (Vol 1 pages 12-20). This paper offers indicators that might be used for each of these priority areas.
4. These use existing statistical information, as government through its various manifestations - General Registers of Scotland, Information Services Division (for the NHS), and Analytical Services Divisions (for community care, education, leisure and housing) - already collect a vast range of information. We need to make better use of the information that is collected and available, rather than add to data collection.
5. We have related the indicators to the 45 National Indicators that enable the Government to track progress towards its 5 Strategic Objectives. This will help ensure compatibility with the Scottish Government's Common Purpose and its Concordat with local authorities.
6. We have also looked at the Welsh Assembly Government's Indicators of Change set out in The Strategy for Older People in Wales 2008-2013 (March 2008) - see annex B. Some of the suggested indicators in this paper are the same.
Suggested indicators
7. Suggested indicators in each of the 6 priority areas for strategic action are set out in Annex A. Where possible a run of figures is given, to show what the indicator would look like.
- Views of members on the suggested indicators are sought.
Older People and Age Team
Scottish Government
August 2008
ANNEX A
Priority area 1. We will act to continue to improve opportunities for older people - to remove barriers and to create more chances for older people to participate and to be involved in their communities - as volunteers; through paid work; in learning, leisure, culture and sport.
Employment
1. The employment rate of those aged 50-69 and the difference between this and the overall employment rate.
For year ending Sept 2007 (i.e. Oct 2006 - Sept 2007)
Employment rate: 50-69 year olds: 53.8%
Employment rate: working age population (16-64m. 16-59w) 75.9%
Difference: 22.1 percentage points
(Data source: Data for Scotland from Office for National Statistics quarterly Labour Force Survey)
Participation in sport/physical activity:
2. Participation in cultural activities within last 12 months; how often in last 12 months
Participation in sport/physical activities in last 4 weeks; how many days in last 4 weeks
(Data source: Scottish Household Survey: questions on sport and cultural participation for all ages are included in main survey for the first time in 2007. These questions will also be included in 2007-08 and 2011-12.)
3. Increase in the proportion of adults making more visits to the outdoors per week
(Concordat Indicator):
Proportion who have taken at least one trip to the outdoors in the last 12 months:
Under 35 35-54 55+
2004 74 73 55
2005 78 77 61
(Data Source: Scottish Natural Heritage annual Scottish Recreation Survey)
Priority area 2. We will act to forge better links between the generations
4. Numbers of older people volunteering, including volunteering with youth/children's activities
Proportion in each age group volunteering:
45-59 60-74 75+
2004 24.6 24.6 14.0
2005 20.3 22.4 12.7
2006 27.0 24.0 14.0
(Data source: Scottish Household Survey)
Priority area 3. We will continue to act to improve the health and quality of life of older people
5. Increase in the average number of years that a person aged 65 can expect to live in good or fairly good health, based on people's own assessment of their general health.
Males
2004 2003 2002 2001
UK 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.9
GB 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.9
England 12.7 12.5 12.1 12.0
Wales 11.8 10.9* 10.7* 11.1
Scotland 11.5* 11.7* 11.5 11.5
N.I. 12.8 11.9* 11.4* 11.1*
Females :
UK 14.5 14.3 14.0 14.0
GB 14.5 14.3 14.1 14.0
England 14.6 14.4 14.1 14.2
Wales 13.2* 13.5 13.1 12.8*
Scotland 13.9 13.8 13.9 13.5
N.I. 13.6* 13.2* 12.9* 12.5*
* Significantly different from England at the 95% confidence level.
(Data Source: Office for National Statistics)
6. Number of patients aged 65+ admitted as emergency in patient 2 or more times in a year (no. per 100,000 popn.) . (Concordat Indicator)
2004/05 45
2005/06 45
2006/07 48
Target: Reduce number by 20% compared to 2004/05
(Data source: Community Care Stats: Reduction of hospital re-admissions)
7. Reduce mortality from Coronary Heart Diseaseamong the under 75s in deprived areas. (Concordat Indicator)
Mortality rate from Coronary Heart Disease among under 75s in deprived areas:
2004 125.2 per 100,000
2005 117.9 per 100,000
2006 106.6 per 100,000
(Data source: Health Analytical Services Division, Scottish Government)
8. Increase the average score of adults age 50+ and 65+ on the Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Well-being Scale by 2011 (Concordat Indicator)
(Data Source: Scottish Health Survey - new question in 2008)
Priority area 4. We will continue to improve care, support and protection for those older people who need it.
9. Proportion of people 65+ with intensive care needs receiving services at home as a percentage of all older people receiving long term care. (Target 30% to receive care at home) (Concordat Indicator)
%
2003 24.6
2004 26.9
2005 28.4
2006 28.6
2007 29.5
(Data source: Collected annually for Community Care statistics)
10. Increase in the percentage of older people who rate their neighbourhood as a good place to live. (Concordat Indicator)
Percentage of adults 60+ who rate area as good (very/fairly good) place to live
16-24 25-34 35-44 45-59 60-74 75+ All
2003-2004 88 90 92 93 94 95 92
2005-2006 87 89 92 94 95 96 93
(Data source: Scottish Household Survey)
Priority area 5. We will ensure that the right infrastructure is in place for a Scotland with an ageing population with housing, transport and planning progressively meeting the needs of all ages.
11.Proportion of pensioners living on relative low income before housing costs.
All individuals Pensioners
Before housing costs Before housing costs
% (000s) % (000s)
2004/05 17 860 20 190
2005/06 18 880 20 190
2006/07 17 840 20 180
(Data Source: Family Resources Survey (Households Below Average Income dataset).
12. Use of concessionary travel by older people
Percentage of older people with concessionary travel pass and frequency of use 2006:
Total with pass Used at least once Not used pass
in last month in last month
60-64 76% 51% 25%
65-69 85% 60% 24%
70-74 90% 60% 32%
75-79 86% 54% 33%
80+ 83% 48% 36%
All aged 60+ 84% 54% 29%
(Data Source: Scottish Household Survey)
Priority area 6. We will offer learning opportunities throughout life.
13. Percentage of older people in education and training
Participation in education and training 2003-04
16-24 25-34 35-44 45-59 60-64 All
None 47 69 72 78 92 72
On the job training 17 19 19 16 3 16
Adult educ./evening class 2 2 3 3 2 2
Participation in education and training 2005-06
16-24 25-34 35-44 45-59 60-64 All
None 48 71 74 80 92 74
On the job training 12 17 17 14 4 14
Adult educ./evening class 1 2 2 2 2 2
(Data source: Scottish Household Survey (Question RC2))
September 2008
ANNEX B
THE STRATEGY FOR OLDER PEOPLE IN WALES 2008-2013
INDICATORS OF CHANGE
The following Indicators of Change refer to devolved matters and make use of data that is already collected.
Social Inclusion
1. Fear of crime: percentage of people aged 50+ who report that their lives are greatly affected by fear of crime.
In addition, the following two measures will be included if existing data can be used:
• contact with friends and family;
• access to transport.
Material Well Being
2. Employment rate: those in employment as a percentage of the population, in three age groups:
a. 16-59/64 (available for all-Wales and by local authority).
b. 50-59/64 (available at all-Wales level).
c. 60/65+ (available at all-Wales level).
3. Older People in work related education/training: percentage of people aged 50+ who had taken part in any education or training connected with their job, or any job that they might do in the future, during a three-month period.
Active Ageing
4. Participation in sport or leisure activities: participation by people aged 50+ in any sport or activity during a four-week period.
Social Care
5. Receipt of community based services helping people to live at home: rate of people aged 65+ helped to live at home per 1,000 population aged 65+.
6. Housing that is unfit or in a defective state: proportion of women aged 60+ and men aged 65+ who live in households classed as (a) unfit and (b) defective.
Health Care
7. Access to selected surgical procedures: rates per 1,000 population aged 65 or over of:
a. hip replacements; and
b. knee replacements
Health and Well Being
8. Healthy life expectancy at 65+: average number of years that a person aged 65 can expect to live in good or fairly good health, based on people's own assessment of their general health.
9. Disability free life expectancy at 65+: average number of years that a person aged 65 can expect to live free from limiting long-standing illness.