On this page:

Scenarios & Models

ClimatePrediction



Climateprediction.net is an experiment which aims to utilise personal computers across the world to help scientists quantify the uncertainty encountered in climate models and generate the world's most comprehensive probability-based forecast of twenty-first-century climate.



The experiment, which officially launched on 12 September 2003 at the Science Museum in London and at the British Association Festival of Science in Salford, is being run by a team of experts from Oxford University, the Open University, the Hadley Centre (part of the Met Office), Rutherford Labs, Tessella and others, with funding from the Natural Environment Research Council and the Department for Trade and Industry.



The project team is asking people to download the climate model onto their personal computer, where it will run in the background for 6-12 weeks, depending on the speed of the computer in question. This approach, called 'ensemble forecasting', will enable the team to represent a whole range of uncertainties on a scale not even the most cutting edge supercomputers could cope with. Users will be able to compare 'their world' as produced by their personal climate model with thousands of other worlds of the other participants - including the one we happen to live in today.



Find out more by visiting the climate prediction.net website.






O Scenarios of climate change for islands within the BIC region

This is the first scenarios report published by the British-Irish Council (BIC) on the 24 July 2003. It forecasts how the climate in the Western Isles, the Orkney Islands and the Shetland Isles could change over the next 100 years. The report, which also covers the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man, is the latest tool for decision-makers to be prepared by the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, which is part of the Met Office.




O Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: 2002



UKCIP02Published in April 2002, these scenarios, produced for the UK Climate Impacts Programme, replace climate scenarios published in 1998 and offer four alternative scenarios of how climate change may affect UK climate over the next hundred years.












O Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: Summary Report(PDF 2.33Mb)

UKCIP98Published in September 1998, this summary of a parallel Technical Report presents scenarios of how the climate of the UK may change over the next 100 years. The scenarios were produced for the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP).










Page updated: Wednesday, August 11, 2004