Office of the Chief Researcher
Office of the Chief Economic Adviser
ISBN 978 0 7559 9732 9 (Web only publication)
ISSN 0950 2254
DPPAS 10887
This document is also available in pdf format (721k)
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
Background
Scotland's Population Growth Purpose Target
Scotland's demography as an issue of ongoing interest
2. POPULATION GROWTH
Population growth
Progress towards the Population Growth Purpose Target
3. POPULATION AGEING
Age structure of Scotland's population
Geographical variation in population profile across Scotland
Implications of an ageing population for the dependency ratio
Implications of an ageing population for the economy
Implications for public spending
Policy considerations related to an ageing population
Determinants of the ageing population
4. MORTALITY, LIFE EXPECTANCY AND HEALTHY LIFE EXPECTANCY
Mortality trends in Scotland
Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy trends in Scotland
Health inequalities in Scotland
Implications of increasing life expectancy
Positive implications of increasing numbers of older people
Current issues for policy makers
Current policy activity in relation to older people
Current/future evidence needs relating to mortality, life expectancy and older people
5. FERTILITY
Fertility trends in Scotland
Implications of a low fertility rate
Scotland's fertility in comparison to other European countries
Groups contributing to the recent upturn in the birth rate in Scotland
Geographic variations in fertility across Scotland
Factors influencing fertility rates in Scotland
Current issues in relation to fertility
Current policy activity in relation to fertility
Current/future evidence requirements in relation to fertility
6. MIGRATION
Migration trends in Scotland
Geographical variations in migration
Characteristics of migrants to Scotland
Characteristics of migrants leaving Scotland
Student/graduate migration
The Scottish diaspora
Migration between Scotland and England
Internal migration within Scotland
Current policy issues in relation to migration
Current policy activity in relation to migration
Current/future evidence requirements relating to migration
7. CONCLUDING REMARKS
8. ANNEX 1 - ESRC/SE SCOTTISH DEMOGRAPHY RESEARCH PROGRAMME: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
9. ANNEX 2 - RESEARCH CENTRE FOR POPULATION CHANGE
10. REFERENCES
The views expressed in this report are those of the researcher and
do not necessarily represent those of the Department or Scottish Ministers.