Statistical Bulletin: Transport Series: Key 2008 Road Casualty Statistics

8. Progress towards the casualty reduction targets for 2010 (Tables 5-7)

Target: 40% reduction in those killed or seriously injured by 2010

8.1 There were 2,807 people killed or seriously injured ( KSI) in 2008, 42% below the 1994-98 baseline average level: a larger reduction than target above. Section 10.5 shows the relevant "indicative line" figure for 2008 (the reduction needed to achieve the 2010 target by means of a constant annual percentage reduction) is 35.5% below the 1994-98 baseline average. Table 5 shows that the reduction required for KSI casualties has matched or exceeded this for all modes except motorcycles. Indeed in two cases, the falls are greater than 50%.

Table 5: Killed and seriously injured casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2008

2008 % change:
	Pedestrian	Pedal cycle	Motor cycle	Car	Bus/coach	Goods ¹	Other ²	All road users
1994-98 ave	1,376	249	355	2,501	96	172	89	4,838
1994	1,647	316	353	2,804	150	211	90	5,571
1995	1,587	292	395	2,653	105	211	96	5,339
1996	1,279	216	300	2,293	96	137	77	4,398
1997	1,211	210	358	2,365	55	136	89	4,424
1998	1,156	210	371	2,390	76	163	91	4,457
1999	1,143	189	431	2,004	83	144	81	4,075
2000	997	176	475	1,978	80	121	67	3,894
2001	918	171	454	1,952	62	129	72	3,758
2002	893	152	456	1,782	59	141	50	3,533
2003	775	139	417	1,700	70	129	64	3,294
2004	750	128	395	1,581	66	95	59	3,074
2005	742	132	404	1,458	63	98	54	2,951
2006	746	141	409	1,431	57	99	59	2,942
2007	653	151	421	1,271	33	102	35	2,666
2008 prov.	694	162	428	1,334	58	72	59	2,807
2004-08 average	717	143	411	1,415	55	93	53	2,888
Numbers in 2010 implied by target	826	149	213	1,501	58	103	53	2,903
on 2007	6%	7%	2%	5%	*	-29%	*	5%
on 94-98 ave	-50%	-35%	20%	-47%	-40%	-58%	-33%	-42%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

8.2 Around half of the 2,807 KSI casualties reported in 2008 were car users. The 2008 figure of car KSI casualties (1,334) was 47% below the 1994-98 average, and therefore exceeded the 2010 target. There were 694 pedestrianKSI casualties reported in 2008, 50% fewer than the 1994-98 average: again exceeding the reduction set out in the target. However, motorcycleKSI casualties continue to increase - currently 20% higher than the 1994-98 average. KSI casualties were smaller for the remaining categories of road user ( pedal cyclists: 162; goods vehicle users: 72; bus/coach users: 58; and others: 59).

Target: 50% reduction in children killed or seriously injured by 2010

8.3 There were 291 children killed or seriously injured in 2008, 65% below the 1994-98 average and a larger reduction than the 2010 target above. Table 6 shows that, in 2008, the figures for child pedestrians, pedal cyclists and car users were all below (and therefore better than) the target for 2010. The figures for the other modes of transport are very small.

8.4 About two-thirds of the 291 child killed or seriously injured ( KSI) casualties recorded in 2008 were pedestrians. The number of child pedestrian KSI casualties reported in 2008 was 191, 66% below the 1994-98 average, a larger reduction than the 2010 target of 50%. There were 68 child carKSI casualties recorded in 2008, a fall of 53% from the 1994-98 average, again exceeding the reduction set out in the target. The number of child pedal cycleKSI casualties in 2008 was 80% below the 1994-98 average, also better than the target. As there are few child KSI casualties for other modes of transport, small fluctuations in their numbers can cause apparently large percentage changes which are therefore not shown in Table 6.

Table 6: Child killed and seriously injured casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2008

2008 % change:
	Pedestrian	Pedal cycle	Motor cycle	Car	Bus/ coach	Goods ¹	Other ²	All road users
1994-98 ave	562	100	6	145	11	8	10	842
1994	674	144	6	161	24	12	8	1,029
1995	638	113	7	153	9	13	17	950
1996	540	100	4	118	15	3	10	790
1997	505	78	4	138	3	7	10	745
1998	455	64	8	153	6	6	6	698
1999	430	69	5	108	2	2	9	625
2000	378	65	7	94	7	5	5	561
2001	353	56	7	110	5	6	7	544
2002	340	46	7	111	9	7	7	527
2003	273	48	5	93	5	2	6	432
2004	247	40	10	77	3	3	4	384
2005	244	30	11	69	6	2	6	368
2006	247	40	10	70	4	1	1	373
2007	185	29	4	55	1	1	3	278
2008 prov.	191	20	6	68	2	1	3	291
2004-08 average	223	32	8	68	3	2	3	339
Numbers in 2010 implied by target	281	50	3	72	6	4	5	421
on 2007	3%	*	*	24%	*	*	*	5%
on 94-98 ave	-66%	-80%	*	-53%	*	*	*	-65%

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Target: 10% reduction in slight casualties by 2010 (per 100 million vehicle kilometres)

8.5 Table 7 shows that the 2007 slight casualty rate was 30.37 casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres (As 2007 is the latest year for which there is an estimate of the total volume of traffic for Scotland as a whole). This was 35% below the 1994-98 baseline average and exceeds the 2010 target.

8.6 Around two-thirds of slight casualties reported in 2008 were car users. The total number of car user slight casualties recorded in 2008 was 8,314, 23% below the 1994-98 average. There were 1,901 pedestrian slight casualties reported, 37% less than the 1994-98 average. Bus and coach user slight casualties totalled 526 in 2008, 42% fewer than the 1994-98 average, the recorded number of pedal cyclist slight casualties (566) was 45% below the baseline average, and reported goods vehicle user slight casualties (460) were 21% fewer than the baseline average. However, recorded motorcyclist slight casualties (611 in 2008) were 5% above the 1994-98 average.

Table 7: Slight casualties by mode of transport, 1994 - 2008

2008 % change:
	Pedeestrian	Pedal cycle	Motor cycle	Car	Bus/ coach	Goods ¹	Other ²	All road users	Traffic	Slight casualty rate
								numbers	mill veh-km	per 100 mill veh-km
1994-98 ave	3,009	1,034	580	10,859	912	583	501	17,478	37,653	46.42
1994	3,083	1,068	577	10,123	1,084	669	398	17,002	36,000	47.23
1995	3,048	1,031	576	10,321	802	579	498	16,855	36,737	45.88
1996	3,047	1,081	550	10,740	902	499	499	17,318	37,777	45.84
1997	2,944	1,062	590	11,669	886	525	529	18,205	38,581	47.19
1998	2,921	930	605	11,444	887	643	580	18,010	39,168	45.98
1999	2,620	828	594	10,901	841	609	534	16,927	39,770	42.56
2000	2,606	708	655	10,675	854	542	582	16,622	39,561	42.02
2001	2,487	745	724	10,339	761	595	499	16,150	40,065	40.31
2002	2,423	676	711	10,050	801	621	460	15,742	41,535	37.90
2003	2,215	663	697	10,053	822	537	474	15,461	42,038	36.78
2004	2,327	648	599	10,024	849	561	419	15,427	42,705	36.12
2005	2,308	649	677	9,531	794	495	479	14,933	42,718	34.96
2006	2,105	640	659	9,273	706	484	457	14,324	44,120	32.47
2007	2,049	563	640	8,787	590	506	431	13,566	44,666	30.37
2008 prov.	1,901	566	611	8,314	526	460	378	12,756	..	..
2004-08 average	2,138	613	637	9,186	693	501	433	14,201	..	..
Rate in 2010 implied by target										41.78
on 2007	-7%	1%	-5%	-5%	-11%	-9%	-12%	-6%	..	..
on 94-98 ave	-37%	-45%	5%	-23%	-42%	-21%	-25%	-27%	..	35%3

1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.
3. Relates to 2007 data as 2008 traffic estimates not yet available.

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Statistical Bulletin: Transport Series: Key 2008 Road Casualty Statistics

8. Progress towards the casualty reduction targets for 2010 (Tables 5-7)