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Appendix 6: Households

Existing measures

Ref

Option

-

Building Regulations Scotland 2007

-

Energy Performance of Buildings Directive

-

Energy Efficiency Commitment ( EEC)

-

Carbon Emission Reduction Commitment ( CERT)

-

Supplier Obligation

-

Scottish Housing Quality Standard

-

Warm Deal and Central Heating Programme

-

Reduced VAT on energy saving materials

-

Landlord's Energy Saving Allowance ( LESA)

-

Home Energy Conservation Act ( HECA)

-

Market Transformation Programme

-

Scottish Communities and Householder Renewables Initiative ( SCHRI)

-

Sustainable Energy Networks (ex EEACs)

-

Climate Challenge Fund

-

Climate Change Schools Initiative

-

Smart Metering

-

Energy Performance Certificates

Note: these measures are all included in the baseline and so their emissions savings and associated costs do not appear in the analysis for this report.

Future options

A series of tables are presented for future options:

1. Definition of option, state of deployment
2. Data for 2030
3. Data for 2050
4. Factors influencing deployment, potential, etc.

Ref

Option

Technical measure

State of deployment

D1

Building standards - 20% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Improved insulation; 100% low energy lamps

Future new policy

D2

Building Standards - 30% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Improved insulation; 100% low energy lamps; solar water heating

Future new policy

D3

Building Standards - 50% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Improved insulation; 100% low energy lamps; biomass boiler

Future new policy

D4

Building Standards - 75% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Improved insulation; 100% low energy lamps; biomass boiler; solar water heating

Future new policy

D5

Regulation or Voluntary Agreement to promote more efficient lighting

Full replacement of conventional lamps with CFLs by 2030 and LEDs by 2050

VA now in place on conventional lights but not included in baseline

D6

Improved insulation for existing homes

50% of all solid walls insulated; all loft insulation up to 270mm; double glazing; some floor insulation (2030) + extra insulation options in 2050

Future new policy; planned Supplier Obligation post 2011 will include some SWI

D7

Ground source heat pumps

Ground source heat pumps introduced to all possible homes (equivalent to 25m in UK by 2050)

Future new policy

D8

Photovoltaics ( PV)

PV introduced to half of housing excluding flats

Future new policy (also assumes PV costs fall significantly by 2050)

D9

Biomass boilers

Biomass boilers installed in equivalent of 5m UK homes (pro-rata for Scotland)

Future new policy

D10

Solar water heating

80% of suitable homes have solar water heating

Future new policy (or major extension of SCHRI)

D11

Micro wind

1-5kW wind turbines

Future new policy

D12

Micro CHP

Fuel cell or Stirling Engine CHP in homes over 100m2

Future new policy

Ref

Option

Core data - 2030

Potential

+/-

Key assumptions

Sub-sector

£/t CO 2eq

+/-

Source / Key assumptions

D1

Building standards - 20% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

2%

0%

15% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£367

20%

Based upon Turner & Townsend 2007

D2

Building Standards - 30% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

2%

0%

15% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£573

20%

Based upon Turner & Townsend 2007

D3

Building Standards - 50% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

4%

0%

15% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£583

20%

Based upon Turner & Townsend 2007

D4

Building Standards - 75% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

6%

0%

15% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£830

20%

Based upon Turner & Townsend 2007

D5

Regulation or Voluntary Agreement to promote more efficient lighting

1%

20%

Conventional lighting fully replaced with CFLs

Existing housing - lighting

£82

200%

BRE 2005

D6

Improved insulation for existing homes

10%

20%

50% of all solid walls insulated; all loft insulation up to 270mm; double glazing; some floor insulation

Existing housing - space heating

£16

600%

BRE 2005

D7

Ground source heat pumps

-

-

Assumed not feasible to install many GSHPs by 2030

-

-

-

-

D8

Photovoltaics ( PV)

4%

50%

Half of housing excluding flats

Existing housing - electricity

£1,213

50%

BRE 2005

D9

Biomass boilers

-

-

Assumed not an option for 2030

-

-

-

-

D10

Solar water heating

7%

50%

80% of all homes less the number which already have SWI

Existing housing - water heating

£305

20%

BRE 2005

D11

Micro wind

-

-

Assumed not an option for 2030

-

-

-

-

D12

Micro CHP

2%

20%

Just detached housing (proxy for large housing)

Existing housing - water heating

£61

50%

CT Micro CHP

Ref

Option

Core data - 2050

Potential

+/-

Key assumptions

Sub-sector

£/t CO 2eq

+/-

Source / Key assumptions

D1

Building standards - 20% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

2%

0%

21% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£367

20%

Turner & Townsend 2007 (no further cost reductions assumed)

D2

Building Standards - 30% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

3%

0%

21% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£573

40%

Turner & Townsend 2007 (no further cost reductions assumed)

D3

Building Standards - 50% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

6%

0%

21% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£583

20%

Turner & Townsend 2007 (no further cost reductions assumed)

D4

Building Standards - 75% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

8%

0%

21% of total 2030 housing affected (based on modelled build rate)

New housing

£830

40%

Turner & Townsend 2007 (no further cost reductions assumed)

D5

Regulation or Voluntary Agreement to promote more efficient lighting

1%

20%

CFLs fully replaced with LEDs

Existing housing - lighting

-£72

50%

BRE 2005

D6

Improved insulation for existing homes

13%

20%

50% of all solid walls insulated; all loft insulation up to 270mm; double glazing; half of floors insulated when replaced/repaired

Existing housing - space heating

£95

100%

BRE 2005

D7

Ground source heat pumps

33%

50%

25 million homes in UK; pro rata for Scotland

Existing housing - space heating

£208

100%

BRE 2005

D8

Photovoltaics ( PV)

37%

50%

Half of housing excluding flats; larger area per house than in 2030.

Existing housing - electricity

£1,167

100%

BRE 2005

D9

Biomass boilers

12%

10%

5 million homes in UK; pro rata for Scotland

Existing housing - space and water heating

£104

20%

BRE 2005

D10

Solar water heating

7%

50%

80% of all homes less the number which already have SWI

Existing housing - water heating

£335

30%

BRE 2005

D11

Micro wind

5%

0%

1m x 5kW and 5m x 1kW

Existing housing - electricity

£606

100%

BRE 2006

D12

Micro CHP

2%

20%

Just detached housing (proxy for large housing)

Existing housing - water heating

£4

50%

CT Micro CHP

Option reference

Option

Influencing factors

State of technology

Significant other impact

Type

Other issues

D1

Building standards - 20% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010 64

Mature

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory

D2

Building Standards - 30% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Mature

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory

D3

Building Standards - 50% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Newly deployed

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory

D4

Building Standards - 75% reduction in CO 2 emissions from 2007 standards in new housing from 2010

Newly deployed

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory

D5

Regulation or Voluntary Agreement to promote more efficient lighting

CFLs mature; LEDs under development

None

Regulatory or Voluntary

D6

Improved insulation for existing homes

Mature; except for external cladding of cavity walls

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory (e.g. linked to house sales) or Supplier Obligation

D7

Ground source heat pumps

Deployed in other countries; needs further development

Fuel poverty +

Regulatory (in practice difficult to regulate full take-up as major barriers)

Note: effectiveness would be reduced by insulation

D8

Photovoltaics ( PV)

Considerable improvement needed to meet cost targets

Energy security advantages

Regulatory or Supplier Obligation

D9

Biomass boilers

Deployed in small numbers

Energy security advantages

Regulatory or Supplier Obligation

Note: effectiveness would be reduced by insulation

D10

Solar water heating

Deployed in small numbers

Energy security advantages

Regulatory, grants or Supplier Obligation

D11

Micro wind

Newly deployed

Energy security advantages

Regulatory or Supplier Obligation

D12

Micro CHP

Demonstration stage

None

Regulatory or Supplier Obligation

Takes account of improved insulation

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Page updated: Wednesday, November 19, 2008