Table 1.i shows a description of components and formulae used in an example of the economic costing spreadsheet model in Table 2.i that brings all economic data and epidemiological model output together. The first column in Table 1.i gives the row reference, the second column gives a description of variable/ parameter / constant and the third column defines the formula and provides a brief explanation with respect to the reference cells in the spreadsheet model in Table 2.i.
Row Ref | Variable/ Parameter | Formula/Explanation |
12 | Weight loss (% of biomass) | |
14 | | Lower bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of sheep due to BTV infection |
15 | | Upper bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of sheep due to BTV infection |
17 | | Lower bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of cattle due to BTV infection |
18 | | Upper bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of cattle due to BTV infection |
27 | Cattle milk loss | B27= 0.05*(epidscen!Q3*DATA!J38/DATA!J32)*(DATA!J61/DATA!J38) * B78. It was assume d that 5% of milk is lost due to BTV infection. This is represented by the 0.05 parameter in the formula. where epidscen!Q3 = number of infected cows; DATA!J38 = Total Scottish population of Dairy cows; DATA!J32 = total Cattle population and B78 = price of milk per litre |
28 | Weight loss (% of biomass) | |
29 | Sheep/Lamb | |
30 | Low | B30 = epidscen!Q4*$B$14*B68*0.111. It was assumed that 11% of infected sheep would show weight loss. This is represented by the 0.11 parameter in the formula. where episedscen!Q4=number of infected sheep; $B$14= Lower bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of sheep due to BTV infection ; B68 = sheep price per/head |
31 | High | B31 = epidscen!Q4*$B$15*B68*0.111. It was assumed that 11% of infected sheep would show weight loss. This is represented by the 0.11 parameter in the formula. Where episedscen!Q4 = number of infected sheep; $B$14= Upper bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of sheep due to BTV infection; B68 = sheep price per/head |
32 | Cattle | |
33 | Low | B33 = epidscen!Q3*$B$17*B67*0.9. It was assumed that 9% of infected cows would show weight loss. This is represented by the 0.9 parameter in the formula. Where episedscen!Q3 = number of infected cows; $B$14= Lower bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of cows due to BTV infection; B67 = price of cow per/head |
34 | High | B34 = epidscen!Q3*$B$18*B67*0.9. It was assumed that 9% of infected cows would show weight loss. This is represented by the 0.9 parameter in the formula. Where episedscen!Q3 = number of infected Cows; $B$14= Upper bound weight loss as a percentage of biomass of cows due to BTV infection; B67 = cow price per/head |
35 | Abortion/Infertility | |
36 | Sheep | B36 = ((epidscen!Q4*Pfs))*0.5. It was assumed that 5% of infected sheep will become infertile and this was represented in formula as 0.5. where Pfs =Loss of fertility for sheep (£/head); episedscen!Q4 = number of infected sheep |
37 | Cattle |
38 | Dairy cattle | B38 = (epidscen!Q3*Pfdc)*(DATA!J38/DATA!J32)*0.019 It was assumed that 1.9% of infected cows will become infertile and this was represented in formula as 0.019. Where episedscen!Q3 = number of infected cows; Pfdc= value of loss of fertility for dairy cattle(£/head) |
39 | Beef cattle | B39 = (epidscen!Q3*Pfbc)*DATA!J44/DATA!J32*0.019 It was assumed that 1.9% of infected cows will become infertile and this was represented in formula as 0.019. Where episedscen!Q3 = number of infected cows; Pfdc= value of loss of fertility for beef cattle(£/head) |
40 | Sheep mortality | B40 = epidscen!Q8*Ps Where Ps is price of sheep/head; epidscen!Q8= number of dead sheep due to BTV |
41 | Cattle mortality | B41 = epidscen!Q7*Pc where Pc is the price cattle/head; epidscen!Q8= number of dead cows due to BTV |
42 | Wool loss | B42 = 2.5*epidscen!Q4*B79*0.3 It was assumed that normal yield of wool per sheep is 2.5 kg and 30% of sheep may develop signs of disease. where episedscen!Q4 = number of infected sheep; B79 = price of wool per kg; |
43 | Veterinary cost of morbid sheep | B43 = epidscen!Q4*B80, Where episedscen!Q4 = number of infected sheep, B80 = Veterinary and medicine cost per sheep (£/head) |
44 | Veterinary cost of morbid cattle | B44 = epidscen!Q3*B81, Where episedscen!Q3 = number of infected cows; B80 = Veterinary and medicine cost per cow (£/head) |
45 | Sheep carcass disposal cost | B45 = epidscen!Q8*B66; where epidscen!Q8= number of dead sheep due to BTV B66= carcass disposal cost (£/sheep) |
46 | Cattle carcass disposal cost | B46 = epidscen!Q7*B67; where epidscen!Q7= number of dead cows due to BTV B67= carcass disposal cost (£/cow) |
47 | Palliative Care | |
48 | Sheep | B48=epidscen!Q4*(DATA!$D$204*5+DATA!$D$205*3)+epidscen!Q8*(DATA!$D$204*5+DATA!$D$205*3); Where epidscen!Q4= number of infected sheep, epidscen!Q8= number of dead sheep due to BTV; DATA!$D$204 = cost of alamycin la by 5 doses, DATA!$D$205 = cost of flunixin by 3 doses |
49 | Cattle | B49=epidscen!Q3*(DATA!$D$201+DATA!$D$202)+epidscen!Q7*(DATA!$D$201+DATA!$D$20)where epidscen!Q3 = number of infected cows, epidscen!Q7= number of dead cows due to BTV; DATA!$D$201= cost of administration of alamycin la ; DATA!$D$202= cost of administration of flunixin |
50 | Movement restrictions (includes PCR and ELISA pre-testing cost) |
51 | Sheep | B51= 0.05*B68*(epidscen!Q26+epidscen!Q32)+epidscen!Q27*B90+epidscen!Q28*B89 Where The parameter of value 0.05 represents the assumption that movement restriction will cost 5% of the value of the animal B68= price of sheep (£ /head) epidscen!Q26 = Number of sheep movement (live-live) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken epidscen!Q32 = Number of sheep movement (live- slaughter) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken epidscen!Q27 = Number of sheep vaccinated with PCR before movement (live-live) in the counties where control will be undertaken B90 = Pre-movement testing PCR cost (£/head) epidscen!Q28 = Number of sheep vaccinated with ELISA before movement (live-live) in the counties where control will be undertaken B89= Pre-movement testing ELISA cost (£/head) |
52 | Cattle | B52 = 0.05*B70*(epidscen!Q23+epidscen!Q31)+epidscen!Q24*B90+epidscen!Q25*B89 Where The parameter of value 0.05 represents the assumption that movement restriction will cost 5% of the value of the animal epidscen!Q23= Number of cattle movement (live-live) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken epidscen!Q24= Number of cattle vaccinated with PCR before movement (live-live) in the counties where control will be undertaken epidscen!Q25= Number of cattle vaccinated with ELISA before movement (live-live) in the counties where control will be undertaken epidscen!Q31= Number of cattle movement (live-slaughter) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken B70= price of cattle (£ /head) B90 = Pre-movement testing PCR cost (£/head) B89= Pre-movement testing ELISA cost (£/head) |
53 | Cattle movement to slaughter costs - add to 'no license' CBA | B53 = epidscen!Q31*B70*0.15 Where epidscen!Q31= Number of cattle movement (live-slaughter) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken B70= price of cattle (£ /head) The parameter of value 0.05 represents the assumed 15% reduction in live animal cost due to move to slaughter delay
(Loss in revenue due to decrease in price of cattle because of a reduction in price due to 'movement to slaughter' delays or increased costs.). |
54 | Sheep movement to slaughter costs | B54 = epidscen!Q32*B68*0.15 Where epidscen!Q32= Number of sheep movement (live- slaughter) lost in the counties where control will be undertaken B68= price of sheep (£ /head) The parameter of value 0.05 represents the assumed 15% reduction in live animal cost due to move to slaughter delay (Loss in revenue due to decrease in price of cattle because of a reduction in price due to 'movement to slaughter' delays or increased costs.). |
59 | Increase in labour cost due to BTV infection |
60 | Cattle | B60 = ((7*epidscen!Q3)/480)*60*1 It was assumed that family labour will be used to supplement farm labour in the event of an incursion of BTV. As family labour has a low opportunity cost, labour cost was assumed to be £1/hour as in Gunn et al. (2004). Extra labour was assumed to be 7mins/morbid cattle per day. Where epidscen!Q3 = Number of Infected cattle The parameter of value 7 (measure unit minutes) represents the number of minutes spent to nurse an infected animal The constant 480 (measure unit minutes) represents the duration of a labour day, namely sum of 1 hour/day (60 minutes) to organise treatment regardless of flock size and 8hrs/day =420 minutes The constant 60 represents the number of animals nursed by one family labourer. The constant 1 represents the labour cost, which was assumed to be £1/hour. |
61 | Sheep | B61 = ((2*epidscen!Q4)/480)*60*1 It was assumed that family labour will be used to supplement farm labour in the event of an incursion of BTV. As family labour has a low opportunity cost, labour cost was assumed to be £1/hour as in Gunn et al. (2004). Extra labour was assumed to be 2 mins/morbid cattle per day. Where epidscen!Q4 = Number of Infected Sheep The parameter of value 2 (measure unit minutes) represents the number of minutes spent to nurse an infected animal The constant 480 (measure unit minutes) represents the duration of a labour day, namely sum of 1 hour/day (60 minutes) to organise treatment regardless of flock size and 8hrs/day =420 minutes The constant 60 represents the number of animals nursed by one family labourer. The constant 1 represents the labour cost, which was assumed to be £1/hour. |
62 | Direct cost | B62=0.5*(B22+B23)+0.5*(B25+B26)+B27+B29+0.5*(B30+B31)+0.5*(B33+B34)+B36+0.5*(B38+B39)
+B40+B41+B42+B43+B44+0.5*(B5+B6)+0.5*(B8+B9)+B45+B46+B48+B49+B51+B52+B53+B54+B60 |
63 | Avoided cost | B63=B62 |
95 | Sheep BTV Vaccination | B95=B82*epidscen!Q6, where B82= BTV Vaccine per sheep (£/head), epidscen!Q6 =number of vaccinated sheep |
96 | Cattle BTV Vaccination | B96=B83*epidscen!Q5 where B83= BTV Vaccine per cow (£/head), epidscen!Q5 =number of vaccinated cows, |
97 | Sheep - Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - farm level | B97=epidscen!Q10*Cc where epidscen!Q10= Number of infected Sheep farms, Cc = certification cost per sheep farm |
98 | Sheep Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - for exports | B98=(50+9*10+(0*(DATA!J4*epidscen!Q38/DATA!J2)-10)*1.5) As per RERAD communication it was assumed that all animals are vet administered and certified. Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification ion cost as follows-: initial estimates of costs are 1 st cattle (£50), next 9 (£10 each), the rest (£1.5 each). Where DATA!J4 = total sheep export (heads) DATA!J2= Total live domestic production of sheep (heads) epidscen!Q38 =Total number of sheep in the PZ The parameter of value 0 represents the assumption that all sheep exports from the PZ area are banned - as peak export time is outside the free-vector period (which is the only time when exports are allowed). |
99 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - farm level | B99=epidscen!Q9*Cc where epidscen!Q9= Number of infected cattle farms, Cc = certification cost per cattle farm. Cc was given as £80 per holding |
100 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - for exports | B100=(50+9*10+(0.33*(DATA!J34*epidscen!Q37/DATA!J32)-10)*5) As per RERAD communication it was assumed that all animals are vet administered and certified. Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification cost as follows-: initial estimates of costs are 1 st cattle (£50), next 9 (£10 each), the rest (£5 each). Where DATA!J34 = total cattle exports (heads) ; epidscen!Q37= Total number of cattle in the PZ DATA!J32= Total live domestic production of cattle (heads) The parameter of value 0.33 represents the assumption that cattle exports from the PZ area are allowed for 33% of the duration of the year. |
101 | Veterinary, medicine and other costs (cattle) | B101=B81*DATA!I32 where DATA!I32= Cattle total live production (heads), B81= Veterinary and medicine cost per cattle (£/head) |
102 | Veterinary, medicine and other costs (sheep) | B102=B80*DATA!J32 where DATA!I32= sheep total live production (heads), B80= Veterinary and medicine cost per cattle (£/head) |
103 | Sheep BTV pre-testing PCR (imports) | B103=B90*DATA!J3*0.75 |
104 | Cattle BTV pre-testing PCR (imports) | B104=B90*DATA!J33*0.75; where B90=Pre-movement testing PCR (£/head), B90 = Total cattle imports (heads) |
106 | Slaughtering cost for imported BTV infected sheep | B106=SUM(B101:B104) |
107 | Total treatment costs | |
108 | Avoided cost | B108=B95+B96+B97+B98+B99+B100+B105+B106 |
| | Indirect costs - Public surveillance costs |
110 | Sheep BTV Vaccination | B110=0*B82*epidscen!Q6 This element of the cost was included as public sector cost or part of the surveillance cost in scenarios |
111 | Cattle BTV Vaccination | B111=0*B83*epidscen!Q6 |
112 | Sheep Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification | B112=0*(50+9*10+(epidscen!L38-10)*1.5) Where The parameter of value 0 is used to multiply the rest of the formula only in the spreadsheets for the 'Voluntary vaccination' scenarios to indicate no public costs regarding sheep veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification. |
113 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification | B113=0*(50+9*10+(epidscen!L37-10)*5) Where The parameter of value 0 is used to multiply the rest of the formula only in the spreadsheets for the 'voluntary vaccination' scenarios to indicate no public costs regarding cattle veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification. |
| Sheep | |
115 | Probable BTV surveillance costs | B115=Survecost!J26*0.02+700 It was assumed that 2% of total public sector surveillance constitute passive surveillance costs for sheep. where Survecost!J26= surveillance cost as supplied by RERAD The constant '700' represents the assumed routine cost for inspection of farms with suspicion of outbreak. |
| Cattle | |
117 | Probable BTV surveillance and control costs | B117=Survecost!J26*0.005+300. It was assumed that 0.5% of total public sector surveillance constitutes passive surveillance costs for cattle and 300 represent… |
118 | Sheep BTV pre-testing ELISA for animal imported from the RUK | B118=DATA!J5*B89. where DATA!J5= Sheep total 'Imports' from the rest of UK (heads), - B89= ELISA pre- movement testing cost (domestic) (£/head) |
119 | Sheep BTV pre-testing PCR for animal imported from the RUK | B119=DATA!J5*B90. where DATA!J5= Sheep total 'Imports' from the rest of UK (heads), B90= PCR movement pre- testing cost (domestic) (£/head) |
120 | Cattle BTV pre-testing ELISA for animal imported from the RUK | B120=DATA!J35*B89 where DATA!J35= cattle total 'Imports' from the rest of UK (heads), B89= ELISA movement pre- testing cost (domestic) (£/head) |
121 | Cattle BTV pre-testing PCR for animal imported from the RUK | B121=DATA!J35*B90 where DATA!J35= cattle total 'Imports' from the rest of UK (heads), B90= PCR movement pre- testing cost (domestic) (£/head) |
122 | Total public surveillance cost and disease control costs ((incl. mail shots, ads, etc) | B122=B115+B117+B118+B119+B120+DATA!$B$132+DATA!$B$133 |
123 | Avoided costs | B123=B110+B111+B112+B113 |
| | Apparent domestic consumption and export loss during disease outbreak (quantity) |
125 | Sheep live animals export loss (heads) (banned) | B125=DATA!J4*epidscen!Q38/DATA!J2 where DATA!J4= Sheep total export (heads); epidscen!Q38= Total number of sheep in the PZ; DATA!J2= Sheep total domestic production (heads) |
126 | Cattle live animals export loss (heads) (banned) | B126=DATA!J34*epidscen!Q37/DATA!J32-0.33*(DATA!J34*epidscen!Q37/DATA!J32) where DATA!J34=Cattle total exports (heads), epidscen!Q37= Total number of cattle in the PZ; DATA!J32= Cattle total live production (heads); DATA!J34= Cattle total exports (heads) |
131 | Sheep meat domestic consumption loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception) | B131=(DATA!J99*DATA!J20* 0.1)/B75 Price elasticity of demand was used to predict the likely price effects that BTV outbreak-related shortages may cause. It was assumed that when BTV breaks out it would have an almost instant impact on the amount meat products that will be consumed due to negative media coverage. Thus the formula used in the estimation of meat product do not include lags where DATA!J99= own price elasticity of lamb (meat); DATA!J20= Apparent domestic consumption of sheep meat (kg); B75= Sheep meat price (£ /kg) |
132 | Beef domestic consumption loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception) | B132=(DATA!J102*DATA!J55*0.25)/B77 Price elasticity of demand was used to predict the likely price effects that BTV outbreak-related shortages may cause. It was assumed that when BTV breaks out it would have an almost instant impact on the amount meat products that will be consumed due to negative media coverage. Thus the formula used in the estimation of meat product do not include lags where DATA!J102= own price elasticity of beef; DATA!J55= Apparent domestic consumption of beef (kg); B77= beef price (£ /kg) |
134 | Milk domestic consumption loss (litre) (change in domestic consumers perception) | B134=(1+((B78*0.96)/DATA!K169-1)*DATA!J103)*DATA!J67*0.999 Where B78=milk price per litre DATA!K169= milk price per litre DATA!J103 = Milk own price elasticity DATA!J67= Apparent domestic population milk consumption (litres) It was assumed that when BTV disease occurs milk would not be immediately affected media coverage of the disease. Therefore the estimation of BTV outbreak include lags to simulate slow response of milk consumers. |
| | Indirect Cost Apparent domestic consumption and export losses |
136 | Sheep live animals export loss (banned) | B136=B125*B68*DATA!J88 where B125= Sheep live animals export loss (heads) ; B68= Sheep price (£ /head); DATA!J88 = input output multiplier for sheep |
137 | Cattle live animals export loss (banned) | B137=B126*B70*DATA!J89 where B126= cattle live animals export loss (heads) ; B70= cattle price (£ /head); DATA!J88 = input output multiplier for cattle |
142 | Sheep meat domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | B142=B131*B75 where B131=Sheep meat domestic consumption loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception); B75= price of Sheep meat (£ /kg) |
143 | Beef domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | B143=B132*B77 where B132=beef meat domestic consumption loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception); B77= price of beef meat (£ /kg) |
145 | Milk domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | B145=(DATA!J67-B134)*B78 where DATA!J67= Apparent domestic milk consumption (litres); B134= milk domestic consumption loss (litres) (change in domestic consumers perception); B78= price of milk (£ /litre) |
146 | Total indirect cost | B146=SUM(B136:B145) |
147 | Avoided cost | B147=SUM(B136:B145) |
| | Estimated indirect cost of disease (assume no license for move-to-slaughter - than add lines 53, 54) |
149 | Estimated indirect cost of disease | B149=B146+B123+B122 |
150 | Estimated direct cost of disease | B150=B62+B107 |
| | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease (£million) |
152 | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease | B152=B149+B150 |
| | Cost and Benefit Analysis |
155 | Undiscounted Benefit (avoided cost) | B155=B63+B108+B123+B147 |
156 | Discounted Benefit | B156=B155/(1+0.035) r where 0.035 represent the discount rate, r=0 in year 1, 1 in year 2 etc |
157 | Undiscounted Cost | B157=B107+B122 |
158 | Discounted cost | B158=B157/(1+0.035) r where 0.035 represent the discount rate, r=0 in year 1, 1 in year 2 etc |
| | Estimated indirect cost of disease (assume license for move-to-slaughter) |
161 | Estimated indirect cost of disease | B161=B146+B123+B122 |
162 | Estimated direct cost of disease | B162=B62+B107 |
| | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease (£million) (assume license for move-to-slaughter) |
164 | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease | B164=B161+B162 |
| | Cost and Benefit Analysis (assume license for move-to-slaughter) |
167 | Undiscounted Benefit (avoided cost) | B167=B63+B108+B123+B147-B53-B54 |
168 | Discounted Benefit | B168=B167/(1+0.035) r . where 0.035 represent the discount rate, r=0 in year 1, 1 in year 2 etc |
169 | Undiscounted Cost | B169=B107+B122 |
170 | Discounted cost | B170=B169/(1+0.035) r . where 0.035 represent the discount rate, r=0 in year 1, 1 in year 2 etc |
171 | CBA ratio ( assume no license for move-to-slaughter) | B171=SUM(C156:G156)/ SUM(C158:G158) |
172 | CBA ratio ( assume with license for move-to-slaughter) | B172=SUM(C168:G168)/ SUM(C170:G170) |
| A | B | C | D | E | F |
Disease: | Blue Tongue Virus |
System affected: | Sheep and Cattle |
Year | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
12 | Weight loss (% of biomass) | | | |
13 | | Sheep | | | | |
14 | low | 0.10 | | | | |
15 | high | 0.15 | | | | |
16 | | Beef cow | | | | |
17 | low | 0.05 | | | | |
18 | high | 0.10 | | | | |
| | Valuation of effects (£) |
Direct Cost-Cost due to BTV disease effects (direct Cost) |
27 | Cattle milk loss | 0.00 | 4.47 | 2.64 | 1.42 | 0.00 |
28 | Weight loss (% of biomass) | | | | | |
29 | Sheep/Lamb | | | | | |
30 | low | 0.505 | 0.060 | 0.039 | 0.020 | 0.000 |
31 | high | 0.758 | 0.090 | 0.059 | 0.030 | 0.000 |
32 | Cattle | | | | | |
33 | low | 8.336 | 2.498 | 1.673 | 0.849 | 0.000 |
34 | high | 7.628 | 0.878 | 0.588 | 0.298 | 0.000 |
35 | Abortion/Infertility | | | | | |
36 | Sheep | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
37 | Cattle | | | | | |
38 | Dairy cattle | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
39 | Beef cattle | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
40 | Sheep mortality | 2.42 | 0.41 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
41 | Cattle mortality | 6.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
42 | Wool loss | 1.64 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
43 | Veterinary cost of morbid sheep | 1.02 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
44 | Veterinary cost of morbid cattle | 29.64 | 8.88 | 5.95 | 3.02 | 0.00 |
45 | Sheep carcass disposal cost | 1.20 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.00 |
46 | Cattle carcass disposal cost | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
47 | Palliative Care | | | | | |
48 | Sheep | 115.72 | 1,211.78 | 1,211.78 | 1,211.78 | 1,211.78 |
49 | Cattle | 71.67 | 4,326.04 | 4,326.04 | 4,326.04 | 4,326.04 |
50 | Movement restrictions (includes PCR and ELISA pre-testing cost) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
51 | Sheep | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
52 | Cattle | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
53 | Cattle movement to slaugher costs - add to 'no license' CBA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
54 | Sheep movement to slaugher costs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
55 | Movement to slaughter license cost | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
59 | Increase in labour cost due to BTV infection | | | | | |
60 | Cattle | 2.16 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
61 | Sheep | 0.28 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
62 | Direct cost | 242.11 | 5,554.54 | 5,548.66 | 5,543.40 | 5,537.81 |
63 | Avoided cost | 242.11 | 5,554.54 | 5,548.66 | 5,543.40 | 5,537.81 |
| Direct cost-Private treatment costs |
95 | Sheep BTV Vaccination - include this as private cost for 'voluntary vacc.' scen. (c3a-e, c4a-e,c5e) | 1,048,641.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
96 | Cattle BTV Vaccination | 553,265.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
97 | Sheep - Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - farm level | 59.20 | 4.80 | 3.22 | 1.63 | 0.00 |
98 | Sheep Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - for exports | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 |
99 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - farm level | 80.80 | 8.80 | 5.90 | 2.99 | 0.00 |
100 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification - for exports | 5,827.92 | 6,884.72 | 5,250.21 | 2,967.52 | 90.00 |
101 | Veterinary/medicine and other costs (cattle) | 22,002,000 | 23,128,697 | 22,948,596 | 22,951,566 | 22,908,917 |
102 | Veterinary/medicine and other costs (sheep) | 5,548,551.00 | 5,505,345.00 | 5,506,057.50 | 5,495,826.00 | 5,480,692.50 |
103 | Sheep BTV pre-testing PCR (imports) | 459,189.68 | 447,093.00 | 432,590.51 | 418,826.14 | 405,501.41 |
104 | Cattle BTV pre-testing PCR (imports) | 121,015.80 | 112,176.21 | 108,084.49 | 124,510.05 | 153,570.94 |
105 | Slaughtering cost for imported BTV infected cattle | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
106 | Slaughtering cost for imported BTV infected sheep | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
107 | Total treatment costs | 28,130,757 | 29,193,311 | 28,995,329 | 28,990,728 | 28,948,682 |
108 | Avoided cost | 1,608,000.27 | 7,023.32 | 5,384.32 | 3,097.15 | 215.00 |
| Indirect costs - Public surveillance costs | |
110 | Sheep BTV Vaccination - include this as public cost for 'compulsory vacc.' scen. (c2a,c2b,c2c,c2d,c2e) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
111 | Cattle BTV Vaccination - include this as public cost for 'compulsory vacc.' scen. (c2a,c2b,c2c,c2d,c2e) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
112 | Sheep Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
113 | Cattle Veterinary supervision, certification and animal identification | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
110 | Sheep | | | | | |
151 | Probable BTV surveillance costs | 480,977.58 | 512,246.69 | 543,515.80 | 574,784.90 | 606,054.01 |
116 | Cattle | | | | | |
117 | Probable BTV surveillance and control costs | 120,369.39 | 128,186.67 | 136,003.95 | 143,821.23 | 151,638.50 |
118 | Sheep BTV pre-testing ELISA for animal imported from the RUK | 101,633.98 | 98,956.58 | 95,746.70 | 92,700.19 | 89,750.98 |
119 | Sheep BTV pre-testing PCR for animal imported from the RUK | 508,169.91 | 494,782.92 | 478,733.50 | 463,500.93 | 448,754.90 |
120 | Cattle BTV pre-testing ELISA for animal imported from the RUK | 26,784.83 | 24,828.34 | 23,922.70 | 27,558.22 | 33,990.37 |
121 | Cattle BTV pre-testing PCR for animal imported from the RUK | 133,924.15 | 124,141.68 | 119,613.50 | 137,791.12 | 169,951.84 |
122 | Total public surveillance cost and disease control costs ((incl. mail shots, ads, etc) | 1,237,935.69 | 1,259,001.20 | 1,277,922.64 | 1,302,365.47 | 1,330,188.76 |
123 | Avoided costs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Apparent domestic consumption and export loss during disease outbreak (quantity) |
125 | Sheep live animals export loss (heads) (banned) | 25,047.26 | 13,666.88 | 8,697.84 | 4,200.95 | 0.00 |
126 | Cattle live animals export loss (heads) (banned) | 2,329.94 | 1,675.92 | 1,272.77 | 709.74 | 0.00 |
131 | interim calc Sheep meat domestic consum86ption loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception) | 271,063.50 | 216,188.93 | 189,691.65 | 132,844.24 | 118,522.15 |
132 | interim calc Beef domestic consumpti89on loss (kg) (change in domestic consumers perception) | 9,605,627.98 | 9,457,944.98 | 9,339,126.49 | 9,407,765.81 | 9,358,001.02 |
134 | Milk domestic consumption loss (litre) (change in domestic consumers perception) | 175,333,234 | 177,013,912 | 172,267,526 | 172,905,487 | 173,321,697 |
| Indirect Cost Apparent domestic consumption and export losses |
136 | Sheep live animals export loss (banned) | 1,815,575.68 | 1,020,424.02 | 634,072.85 | 309,802.97 | 0.00 |
137 | Cattle live animals export loss (banned) | 2,901,758.92 | 2,155,910.50 | 1,737,294.31 | 1,000,155.15 | 0.00 |
142 | Sheep meat domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | 2,114,295.32 | 1,707,892.58 | 1,517,533.24 | 1,076,038.37 | 971,881.62 |
143 | Beef domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | 64,517,801.24 | 64,944,555.54 | 65,529,538 | 67,422,322 | 68,469,374 |
145 | Milk domestic consumption loss (change in domestic consumers perception) | 712,460 | 496,402.48 | 1,368,447 | 1,328,923 | 1,326,940 |
146 | Total indirect cost | 72,061,891 | 70,325,185 | 70,786,885 | 71,137,241 | 70,768,196 |
147 | Avoided cost | 72,061,891 | 70,325,185 | 70,786,885 | 71,137,241 | 70,768,196 |
| Estimated indirect cost of disease (assume no license for move-to-slaughter) |
149 | Estimated indirect cost of disease | 73,299,826.36 | 71,584,186.31 | 72,064,808 | 72,439,606 | 72,098,385 |
150 | Estimated direct cost of disease | 28,130,998.59 | 29,198,866 | 29,000,877 | 28,996,272 | 28,954,219 |
| Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease (£million) (assume no license for move-to-slaughter) |
152 | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease | 101,430,825 | 100,783,052 | 101,065,685 | 101,435,878 | 101,052,604 |
| Cost and Benefit Analysis (assume no license for move-to-slaughter) |
| | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | | 2013 |
155 | Undiscounted Benefit (avoided cost) | 73,670,133 | 70,337,762.97 | 70,797,818 | 71,145,881 | 70,773,949 |
156 | Discounted Benefit | 73,670,133.06 | 67,959,191.28 | 66,090,521 | 64,169,509 | 61,675,407 |
157 | Undiscounted Cost | 29,368,692.17 | 30,452,312.21 | 30,273,251 | 30,293,094 | 30,278,870 |
158 | Discounted cost | 29,368,692.17 | 29,422,523.88 | 28,260,404 | 27,322,635 | 26,386,286 |
| Estimated indirect cost of disease (assume license for move-to-slaughter) |
161 | Estimated indirect cost of disease | 73,299,826 | 71,584,186 | 72,064,808 | 72,439,606 | 72,098,385 |
162 | Estimated direct cost of disease | 28,130,999 | 29,198,866 | 29,000,877 | 28,996,272 | 28,954,219 |
| Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease (£million) (assume license for move-to-slaughter) | | |
164 | Estimated direct and indirect cost of disease | 101,430,825 | 100,783,052 | 101,065,685 | 101,435,877 | 101,052,604 |
167 | Undiscounted Benefit (avoided cost) | 73,670,133 | 70,337,763 | 70,797,818 | 71,145,881 | 70,773,948 |
168 | Discounted Benefit | 73,670,133.06 | 67,959,191.28 | 66,090,521 | 64,169,509 | 61,675,407 |
169 | Undiscounted Cost | 29,368,692 | 30,452,312 | 30,273,251 | 30,293,094 | 30,278,870 |
170 | Discounted cost | 29,368,692 | 29,422,524 | 28,260,404 | 27,322,635 | 26,386,286 |
171 | CBA ratio (assume no license for move-to-slaughter) | 2.42 | | | | |
172 | CBA ratio (assume with license for move-to-slaughter) | 2.42 | | | | |
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A.G.J. Velthuis 1, H. Saatkamp 1, M.C.M. Mourits 1, A.A. de Koeijer 2 en A.R.W. Elbers 2
(2008) Kostenbaten analyse Bluetongue Schade epidemieën 2006 en 2007 en evaluatie vaccinatiestrategieën 1 Bedrijfseconomie, Wageningen Universiteit 2 Divisie virologie, Centraal Veterinair INSTITUUT, WUR