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Closing the Opportunity Gap (CTOG) Programme: Phase 1 Evaluation - Annexes

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Target A

Table TA:1: Projected reductions in caseloads for workless benefits by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Age Band

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

16-17

2,125

1,681

1,188

-445

-937

18-24

27,157

24,215

20,648

-2,942

-6,509

25-34

44,860

36,557

26,638

-8,304

-18,222

35-44

54,984

49,014

42,263

-5,969

-12,720

45-49

26,132

24,895

23,555

-1,237

-2,577

50-54

26,072

23,861

21,255

-2,211

-4,816

55-59

31,737

29,537

26,984

-2,199

-4,752

60-64

19,307

17,076

14,516

-2,231

-4,790

Total

232,447

206,877

176,984

-25,570

-55,463

Notes: The combined totals for age bands may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.2: Projected reductions in JSA claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Age Band

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

16-17

976

851

647

-125

-329

18-24

10,176

9,939

8,954

-237

-1,222

25-34

9,764

7,889

5,068

-1,876

-4,697

35-44

8,112

6,990

5,174

-1,122

-2,938

45-49

3,193

2,999

2,543

-194

-650

50-54

2,912

2,429

1,768

-484

-1,145

55-59

2,727

2,383

1,876

-344

-851

60-64

348

216

48

-132

-300

Total

38,301

33,793

26,201

-4,508

-12,100

Notes: The combined totals for age bands may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.3: Projected reductions in IB claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Age Band

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

16-17

670

421

205

-249

-465

18-24

9,050

7,639

6,268

-1,411

-2,782

25-34

20,870

17,283

13,302

-3,587

-7,568

35-44

34,760

31,841

28,870

-2,919

-5,890

45-49

20,580

19,759

19,068

-821

-1,512

50-54

21,940

20,504

18,847

-1,436

-3,093

55-59

27,960

26,514

24,933

-1,446

-3,027

60-64

16,020

13,798

11,205

-2,222

-4,815

Total

151,850

137,757

122,698

-14,093

-29,152

Notes: The combined totals for age bands may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.4: Projected reductions in Lone Parent claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Age Band

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

16-17

230

197

126

-33

-103

18-24

7,083

5,978

4,839

-1,105

-2,244

25-34

13,467

10,960

8,185

-2,507

-5,281

35-44

11,032

9,622

8,131

-1,410

-2,902

45-49

1,759

1,827

1,933

67

174

50-54

510

525

528

15

19

55-59

160

155

153

-5

-7

Total

34,240

29,263

23,896

-4,977

-10,344

Notes: The combined totals for age bands may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.5: Projected reductions in Other IS claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Age Band

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

16-17

250

212

210

-38

-40

18-24

848

659

587

-189

-262

25-34

760

425

83

-334

-676

35-44

1,079

561

88

-518

-991

45-49

599

311

11

-289

-588

50-54

710

404

113

-306

-597

55-59

890

485

22

-404

-868

60-64

2,939

3,064

3,268

125

329

Total

8,074

6,121

4,382

-1,953

-3,692

Notes: The combined totals for age bands may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.6: Projected reductions in workless benefit caseloads by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Gender

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Men

124,336

109,325

91,077

-15,012

-33,259

Women

108,093

97,541

85,892

-10,552

-22,201

Notes: The combined totals for men and women may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.7: Projected reductions in JSA claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Gender

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Men

29,621

25,542

18,814

-4,079

-10,807

Women

8,692

8,247

7,378

-445

-1,314

Total

38,301

33,793

26,201

-4,508

-12,100

Notes: The combined totals for men and women may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.8: Projected reductions in IB claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Gender

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Men

87,540

78,007

67,827

-9,533

-19,713

Women

64,290

59,776

54,912

-4,514

-9,378

Total

151,830

137,777

122,728

-14,053

-29,102

Notes: The combined totals for men and women may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.9: Projected reductions in Lone Parent claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Gender

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Men

1,898

1,480

998

-419

-901

Women

32,332

27,690

22,650

-4,642

-9,682

Total

34,241

29,180

23,669

-5,060

-10,571

Notes: The combined totals for men and women may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.10: Projected reductions in Other IS claims by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Gender

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Men

5,277

4,296

3,439

-981

-1,838

Women

2,779

1,829

952

-950

-1,827

Total

8,076

6,126

4,387

-1,949

-3,689

Notes: The combined totals for men and women may not add up to the total shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.11: Projected reductions in workless people under 18 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

268

260

258

-8

-10

Glasgow City

881

660

455

-220

-426

Inverclyde

126

78

31

-48

-94

North Lanarkshire

282

243

174

-39

-108

Renfrewshire

181

132

62

-49

-119

South Lanarkshire

276

209

130

-67

-146

West Dunbartonshire

112

99

78

-13

-34

Total

2,125

1,681

1,188

-445

-937

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.12: Projected reductions in workless people 18-24 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,562

2,506

2,428

-56

-134

Glasgow City

10,908

9,828

8,544

-1,080

-2,364

Inverclyde

1,521

1,241

916

-280

-605

North Lanarkshire

4,876

4,031

3,028

-845

-1,848

Renfrewshire

2,217

1,953

1,590

-265

-627

South Lanarkshire

3,564

3,121

2,616

-443

-948

West Dunbartonshire

1,509

1,535

1,527

26

18

Total

27,157

24,215

20,648

-2,942

-6,509

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.13: Projected reductions in workless people 25-34 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

3,622

3,175

2,648

-446

-974

Glasgow City

19,790

15,782

11,033

-4,008

-8,756

Inverclyde

2,196

1,878

1,479

-318

-718

North Lanarkshire

7,669

6,372

4,762

-1,297

-2,907

Renfrewshire

3,603

2,782

1,828

-821

-1,776

South Lanarkshire

5,685

4,605

3,348

-1,080

-2,337

West Dunbartonshire

2,295

1,962

1,541

-333

-754

Total

44,860

36,557

26,638

-8,304

-18,222

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.14: Projected reductions in workless people 35-44 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

4,143

3,753

3,334

-389

-809

Glasgow City

24,989

22,431

19,509

-2,558

-5,479

Inverclyde

2,635

2,234

1,760

-401

-874

North Lanarkshire

9,055

8,164

7,150

-890

-1,905

Renfrewshire

4,281

3,752

3,174

-529

-1,108

South Lanarkshire

7,059

6,254

5,378

-805

-1,681

West Dunbartonshire

2,823

2,426

1,959

-396

-864

Total

54,984

49,014

42,263

-5,969

-12,720

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.15: Projected reductions in workless people 45-49 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,926

1,930

1,915

4

-11

Glasgow City

11,371

11,047

10,759

-324

-613

Inverclyde

1,281

1,178

1,080

-103

-201

North Lanarkshire

4,498

4,256

3,975

-242

-523

Renfrewshire

1,986

1,827

1,625

-158

-361

South Lanarkshire

3,672

3,325

2,946

-347

-726

West Dunbartonshire

1,398

1,332

1,256

-66

-142

Total

26,132

24,895

23,555

-1,237

-2,577

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.16: Projected reductions in workless people 50-54 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,936

1,728

1,472

-207

-464

Glasgow City

10,541

10,024

9,407

-517

-1,134

Inverclyde

1,334

1,142

904

-192

-430

North Lanarkshire

4,948

4,225

3,413

-723

-1,535

Renfrewshire

2,094

1,852

1,576

-242

-518

South Lanarkshire

3,874

3,577

3,247

-297

-627

West Dunbartonshire

1,346

1,312

1,237

-33

-108

Total

26,072

23,861

21,255

-2,211

-4,816

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.17: Projected reductions in workless people 55-59 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,464

2,412

2,424

-52

-40

Glasgow City

11,935

11,189

10,370

-747

-1,565

Inverclyde

1,636

1,556

1,449

-79

-187

North Lanarkshire

6,398

5,949

5,406

-449

-992

Renfrewshire

2,700

2,403

2,010

-297

-690

South Lanarkshire

4,924

4,499

4,001

-424

-923

West Dunbartonshire

1,680

1,529

1,325

-151

-355

Total

31,737

29,537

26,984

-2,199

-4,752

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.18: Projected reductions in workless people 60-64 years old by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,310

1,187

1,038

-123

-272

Glasgow City

7,061

6,309

5,388

-752

-1,673

Inverclyde

1,040

954

855

-86

-185

North Lanarkshire

3,926

3,375

2,776

-551

-1,150

Renfrewshire

1,820

1,582

1,332

-238

-488

South Lanarkshire

3,110

2,722

2,288

-388

-822

West Dunbartonshire

1,040

947

840

-92

-200

Total

19,307

17,076

14,516

-2,231

-4,790

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.19: Projected reductions in IB claims among 16-17 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

60

36

13

-24

-47

Glasgow City

280

172

95

-108

-185

Inverclyde

30

18

6

-12

-24

North Lanarkshire

100

63

15

-37

-85

Renfrewshire

60

41

23

-19

-37

South Lanarkshire

110

81

61

-29

-49

West Dunbartonshire

30

17

7

-13

-23

Total

670

428

220

-242

-450

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.20: Projected reductions in IB claims among 18-24 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

860

851

907

-9

47

Glasgow City

3,830

3,332

2,877

-498

-953

Inverclyde

430

370

310

-60

-120

North Lanarkshire

1,550

1,398

1,294

-152

-256

Renfrewshire

710

684

645

-26

-65

South Lanarkshire

1,250

1,230

1,277

-20

27

West Dunbartonshire

420

442

453

22

33

Total

9,050

8,306

7,761

-744

-1,289

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.21: Projected reductions in IB claims among 25-34 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,660

1,617

1,609

-43

-51

Glasgow City

9,330

7,964

6,444

-1,366

-2,886

Inverclyde

980

918

821

-62

-159

North Lanarkshire

3,590

3,044

2,473

-546

-1,117

Renfrewshire

1,620

1,475

1,286

-145

-334

South Lanarkshire

2,730

2,404

2,057

-326

-673

West Dunbartonshire

960

870

798

-90

-162

Total

20,870

18,292

15,487

-2,578

-5,383

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.22: Projected reductions in IB claims among 45-49 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,500

1,561

1,666

61

166

Glasgow City

8,870

9,019

9,344

149

474

Inverclyde

960

945

941

-15

-19

North Lanarkshire

3,720

3,633

3,623

-87

-97

Renfrewshire

1,520

1,540

1,553

20

33

South Lanarkshire

2,960

2,903

2,900

-57

-60

West Dunbartonshire

1,050

1,084

1,131

34

81

Total

20,580

20,685

21,158

105

578

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.23: Projected reductions in IB claims among 50-54 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,570

1,429

1,282

-141

-288

Glasgow City

8,910

8,471

7,888

-439

-1,022

Inverclyde

1,090

1,003

883

-87

-207

North Lanarkshire

4,240

3,725

3,125

-515

-1,115

Renfrewshire

1,710

1,541

1,313

-169

-397

South Lanarkshire

3,330

3,060

2,751

-270

-579

West Dunbartonshire

1,090

1,040

953

-50

-137

Total

21,940

20,269

18,196

-1,671

-3,744

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.24: Projected reductions in IB claims among 55-59 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,060

2,110

2,234

50

174

Glasgow City

10,560

10,265

10,022

-295

-538

Inverclyde

1,400

1,402

1,388

2

-12

North Lanarkshire

5,760

5,554

5,352

-206

-408

Renfrewshire

2,350

2,249

2,113

-101

-237

South Lanarkshire

4,380

4,200

3,988

-180

-392

West Dunbartonshire

1,450

1,433

1,431

-17

-19

Total

27,960

27,213

26,529

-747

-1,431

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.25: Projected reductions in IB claims among 60-64 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,000

865

712

-135

-288

Glasgow City

5,830

5,126

4,235

-704

-1,595

Inverclyde

850

756

640

-94

-210

North Lanarkshire

3,360

2,862

2,312

-498

-1,048

Renfrewshire

1,510

1,310

1,100

-200

-410

South Lanarkshire

2,640

2,257

1,820

-383

-820

West Dunbartonshire

830

762

685

-68

-145

Total

16,020

13,938

11,504

-2,082

-4,516

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.26: Projected reductions in IB claims among 35-44 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from August 1999 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,540

2,491

2,556

-49

16

Glasgow City

15,560

15,212

14,939

-348

-621

Inverclyde

1,620

1,557

1,524

-63

-96

North Lanarkshire

6,110

5,743

5,433

-367

-677

Renfrewshire

2,580

2,545

2,513

-35

-67

South Lanarkshire

4,670

4,538

4,436

-132

-234

West Dunbartonshire

1,680

1,603

1,540

-77

-140

Total

34,760

33,690

32,941

-1,070

-1,819

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.27: Projected reductions in IB claims among 16-17 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

60

37

14

-23

-46

Glasgow City

280

174

100

-106

-180

Inverclyde

30

20

8

-10

-22

North Lanarkshire

100

74

41

-26

-59

Renfrewshire

60

27

-8

-33

-68

South Lanarkshire

110

71

38

-39

-72

West Dunbartonshire

30

19

10

-11

-20

Total

670

421

205

-249

-465

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.28: Projected reductions in IB claims among 18-24 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

860

798

779

-62

-81

Glasgow City

3,830

3,046

2,243

-784

-1,587

Inverclyde

430

318

194

-112

-236

North Lanarkshire

1,550

1,267

1,001

-283

-549

Renfrewshire

710

612

489

-98

-221

South Lanarkshire

1,250

1,168

1,138

-82

-112

West Dunbartonshire

420

429

423

9

3

Total

9,050

7,639

6,268

-1,411

-2,782

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.29: Projected reductions in IB claims among 25-34 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,660

1,573

1,503

-87

-157

Glasgow City

9,330

7,387

5,197

-1,943

-4,133

Inverclyde

980

842

659

-138

-321

North Lanarkshire

3,590

2,927

2,208

-663

-1,382

Renfrewshire

1,620

1,415

1,168

-205

-452

South Lanarkshire

2,730

2,296

1,826

-434

-904

West Dunbartonshire

960

843

741

-117

-219

Total

20,870

17,283

13,302

-3,587

-7,568

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.30: Projected reductions in IB claims among 35-44 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,540

2,409

2,352

-131

-188

Glasgow City

15,560

14,304

12,957

-1,256

-2,603

Inverclyde

1,620

1,368

1,101

-252

-519

North Lanarkshire

6,110

5,540

4,985

-570

-1,125

Renfrewshire

2,580

2,385

2,171

-195

-409

South Lanarkshire

4,670

4,365

4,058

-305

-612

West Dunbartonshire

1,680

1,470

1,247

-210

-433

Total

34,760

31,841

28,870

-2,919

-5,890

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.31: Projected reductions in IB claims among 45-49 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,500

1,536

1,603

36

103

Glasgow City

8,870

8,589

8,397

-281

-473

Inverclyde

960

901

845

-59

-115

North Lanarkshire

3,720

3,543

3,400

-177

-320

Renfrewshire

1,520

1,450

1,350

-70

-170

South Lanarkshire

2,960

2,714

2,477

-246

-483

West Dunbartonshire

1,050

1,026

997

-24

-53

Total

20,580

19,759

19,068

-821

-1,512

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.32: Projected reductions in IB claims among 50-54 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,570

1,443

1,314

-127

-256

Glasgow City

8,910

8,602

8,233

-308

-677

Inverclyde

1,090

944

757

-146

-333

North Lanarkshire

4,240

3,694

3,084

-546

-1,156

Renfrewshire

1,710

1,588

1,433

-122

-277

South Lanarkshire

3,330

3,147

2,963

-183

-367

West Dunbartonshire

1,090

1,084

1,064

-6

-26

Total

21,940

20,504

18,847

-1,436

-3,093

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.33: Projected reductions in IB claims among 55-59 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

2,060

2,131

2,272

71

212

Glasgow City

10,560

10,045

9,528

-515

-1,032

Inverclyde

1,400

1,358

1,289

-42

-111

North Lanarkshire

5,760

5,460

5,123

-300

-637

Renfrewshire

2,350

2,142

1,869

-208

-481

South Lanarkshire

4,380

4,063

3,688

-317

-692

West Dunbartonshire

1,450

1,315

1,163

-135

-287

Total

27,960

26,514

24,933

-1,446

-3,027

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

Table TA.34: Projected reductions in IB claims among 60-64 year olds by March 2007 and March 2010 - based on linear trends from February 2003 to May 2006

Baseline

Projected

Change from Baseline

Local Authority

31-Aug-04

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

31-Mar-07

31-Mar-10

Dundee City

1,000

881

742

-119

-258

Glasgow City

5,830

5,149

4,289

-681

-1,541

Inverclyde

850

766

664

-84

-186

North Lanarkshire

3,360

2,786

2,146

-574

-1,214

Renfrewshire

1,510

1,261

997

-249

-513

South Lanarkshire

2,640

2,224

1,750

-416

-890

West Dunbartonshire

830

731

616

-99

-214

Total

16,020

13,798

11,205

-2,222

-4,815

Notes: The combined totals for caseloads may not add up to the totals shown. This is due to rounding to the nearest ten and the application of disclosure control.

Source: DWP Information Directorate: Work and Pensions Longitudinal Study.

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Page updated: Friday, December 7, 2007