On this page:

FLOOD PREVENTION SCHEMES - Guidance for Local Authorities

« Previous | Contents | Next »

Listen

GLOSSARY OF TERMS
ConsequenceAn outcome or impact such as economic, social or environmental impact. May be expressed quantitatively (eg monetary value), by category (eg High, Medium, Low), or descriptively.
Decision/Event/Fault treeWays of describing a system and the linkages between different parts. Useful for identifying causes, tracing possible sequences of events, and investigating the effects of decisions.
Deterministic methodMethod in which precise, single values are used for all variables and input values, giving a single value as the output.
HazardA situation with the potential to result in harm. A hazard does not necessarily lead to harm.
Monte Carlo modellingA numerical technique for assessing the probability of different outcomes from two or more variables.
ProbabilityThe probability of an outcome is the relative proportion or frequency of events leading to that outcome, out of all possible events.
Probabilistic methodMethod in which the variability of input values, and the sensitivity of the result, are taken into account to give results in the form of a range of probabilities for different outcomes.
Probabilistic discountingUse of probabilities and probability distributions in order to account for uncertainty when estimating present values of streams of cost, or benefit, over a period of time.
Probability distributionsUsed to describe the likelihood of different values across the whole range of the variables, eg flood damage, extreme loads, particular storm conditions, etc.
Qualitative methodsApproaches which use descriptive rather than numerical values for assessment and decision- making.
Residual life of defencesThe remaining time until a defence is likely to fail or no longer achieve minimum acceptable performance criteria in terms of serviceability or structural strength. (Criteria for failure need to be carefully considered.)
Return periodThe average length of time separating extreme events (eg a flood) of a similar magnitude.
Residual riskThe risk which remains after risk management and mitigation. May include, for example, risk due to very severe (above design standard) storms, or risks from unforeseen hazards.
Risk assessmentConsideration of risks inherent in a project.
Risk managementThe activity of mitigating and monitoring risks, which predominately occurs after the project appraisal stage.
Risk registerAn auditable record of the project risks, their consequences and significance, and proposed mitigation and management measures.
Sensitivity testingMethod in which the impact on the output of an analysis is assessed by systematically changing the input values.

« Previous | Contents | Next »

Page updated: Friday, October 7, 2005