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Indicators of Sustainable Development for Scotland: Progress Report 2005

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Indicator 15. Travel: industry

Freight intensity (relationship between tonne kilometres moved and Gross Domestic Product)

Freight intensity (relationship between tonne kilometres moved and Gross Domestic Product)

Year

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Road freight moved by UKHGVs on journeys originating in Scotland (million tonne kilometres)

12,426

12,995

13,965

14,163

14,236

14,856

14,988

14,817

14,425

14,170

14,432

Road freight moved by UKHGVs on journeys originating in Scotland (1995=100)

89.0

93.1

100.0

101.4

101.9

106.4

107.3

106.1

103.3

101.5

103.3

Scottish GDP (Gross Value Added for all industries; 2001 = 100)

83.0

85.9

87.4

89.9

92.2

94.1

96.1

98.1

100.0

101.0

103.1

Scottish GDP (1995 = 100)

95.0

98.2

100.0

102.8

105.5

107.7

109.9

112.3

114.4

115.5

117.9

Freight intensity (1995 = 100)

93.7

94.7

100.0

98.6

96.6

98.8

97.7

94.5

90.3

87.8

87.7

Source: Department for Transport and Scottish Executive

The relevance of the indicator

Encouraging more freight to be lifted by other modes will help to reduce traffic on our roads.

Detailed definition and source details

The indicator is derived from figures for the total "volume" (in tonne kilometres) of road freight moved by UK heavy goods vehicles on journeys originating in Scotland. These figures, produced by the Department for Transport and published annually in Scottish Transport Statistics1 (Table 3.3), are used to produce an index. The value for each year in this index is multiplied by 100 and divided by that year's value of the index of Scottish Gross Domestic Product, in order to obtain the "freight intensity" index shown in the chart. The GDP index used in these calculations is an updated version of the "Gross Value Added" series for all industries 2. ( NB: the latest version of that index is based on the value for the year 2001 appearing as 100, as shown in the table above; a version of that index based on the value for 1995 representing 100, also shown above, has been to calculate this indicator.)

Trends

The "freight intensity" index indicates how the "volume" of road freight (measured in tonne-kilometres) has been changing relative to the "volume" of the Scottish economy as a whole. For example, the value of the freight intensity index will rise if the volume of road freight increases more rapidly than the rate at which the Scottish economy grows, or if the volume of road freight rises while the Scottish economy contracts, or if the volume of road freight falls less rapidly than the Scottish economy contracts. The index rose in the early 1990s, fluctuated between 1995 and 1998, and has been falling since then. Therefore, since 1998, the volume of road freight moved on journeys originating in Scotland has declined relative to the expansion of the Scottish economy.

Further disaggregation

The Department for Transport estimates are produced from sample surveys which collect details of the journeys made by only 50 or so different Scottish heavy goods vehicles each week. Therefore, it is not possible to disaggregate them other than by types of commodity carried and, very broadly, by origins and destinations of journeys (in terms of regions and countries). It is not possible to provide separate estimates for "urban" and "rural" areas 3.

Target

To make Freight Facility Grant awards by March 2004 that will transfer 23 million lorry miles per year on to rail and water. This target increases to 25 million lorry miles per year by March 2006.

Action

We actively encourage sustainable freight transport by rail and water. The Freight Facilities Grant Scheme is designed to reduce road traffic congestion and pollution arising from transporting freight by road, which remains the main means of transporting goods in Scotland, by addressing the commercial imbalances which exist by assisting with initial capital costs. We have already achieved our March 2004 target and we are on course to meet our 2006 target.

Footnotes

1 Available on the Scottish Executive website at: www.scotland.gov.uk/transtat/sts

2 Table 1.1 of Scottish Economic Statistics which is available on the Scottish Executive website at: www.scotland.gov.uk/stats

3 More detailed figures are published annually in Chapter 3 of Scottish Transport Statistics.

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Page updated: Friday, August 26, 2005