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ANNEX 1: RESULTS OF STATISTICAL MODELS
The four logistic regression models commented on in this
report are presented below. Logistic regression uses binary
dependent variables where the value of interest is coded 1
and the rest of the cases are coded 0. The binary dependent
variable coding is shown at start of each table. This
analysis method compares the parameter estimates for each
category within a variable to a "reference" category. The
reference category for each variable is shown in brackets.
Two asterisks (**) denote significance at the 1% level, one
(*) denotes significance at the 5% level.
Table 1 Knowledge of the Scottish Executive's
activities over the past year
Dependent variable coding:
1= A great deal / quite a lot
0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | 0.433 | 0.230 | 1.541 | |
|---|
45-64 | 1.014 | 0.224 | 2.757 | ** |
|---|
65+ | 1.064 | 0.252 | 2.898 | ** |
|---|
Women (men) | -0.428 | 0.140 | 0.652 | ** |
|---|
Self-rated hardship (having
difficulty) |
|---|
Living very comfortably | 0.164 | 0.323 | 1.178 | |
|---|
Living comfortably | 0.559 | 0.253 | 1.750 | * |
|---|
Coping | 0.680 | 0.248 | 1.974 | ** |
|---|
NS-
SEC (routine
occupations) |
|---|
Employers, managers & professionals | 0.614 | 0.194 | 1.848 | ** |
|---|
Intermediate occupations | -0.059 | 0.260 | 0.943 | |
|---|
Small employers & own account
workers | 0.506 | 0.258 | 1.659 | * |
|---|
Lower supervisory & technical | 0.088 | 0.225 | 1.092 | |
|---|
Urban-rural (large urban) |
|---|
Other urban | -0.299 | 0.160 | 0.741 | |
|---|
Small accessible towns | -0.100 | 0.232 | 0.905 | |
|---|
Small remote towns | -0.885 | 0.447 | 0.413 | * |
|---|
Accessible rural | -0.049 | 0.224 | 0.952 | |
|---|
Remote rural | 0.493 | 0.285 | 1.638 | |
|---|
Highest educational
qualification (none) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.855 | 0.231 | 2.353 | ** |
|---|
Highers / A levels | 0.994 | 0.245 | 2.701 | ** |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.796 | 0.206 | 2.216 | ** |
|---|
Interest in politics (none at
all) |
|---|
A great deal | 2.664 | 0.383 | 14.350 | ** |
|---|
Quite a lot | 2.334 | 0.347 | 10.316 | ** |
|---|
Some | 1.364 | 0.340 | 3.912 | ** |
|---|
Not very much | 0.818 | 0.355 | 2.266 | * |
|---|
Constant | -1.328 | 0.140 | 0.265 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1460
Table 2 Trust in the Scottish Executive to work
in Scotland's best interests
Dependent variable coding:
1= Just about always / most of the time
0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | -0.416 | 0.188 | 0.660 | * |
|---|
45-64 | -0.596 | 0.195 | 0.551 | ** |
|---|
65+ | -0.850 | 0.223 | 0.427 | ** |
|---|
Self-rated hardship (having
difficulty) |
|---|
Living very comfortably | 0.305 | 0.258 | 1.356 | |
|---|
Living comfortably | 0.500 | 0.195 | 1.648 | ** |
|---|
Coping | 0.117 | 0.190 | 1.125 | |
|---|
Highest educational
qualification (None) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.445 | 0.181 | 1.560 | ** |
|---|
Highers / A levels | 0.368 | 0.200 | 1.445 | |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.020 | 0.167 | 1.020 | |
|---|
Party Identification
(None) |
|---|
Conservative | 0.848 | 0.246 | 2.336 | ** |
|---|
Labour | 0.836 | 0.199 | 2.308 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 1.184 | 0.264 | 3.268 | ** |
|---|
SNP | 0.706 | 0.234 | 2.025 | ** |
|---|
Other party | 0.308 | 0.310 | 1.361 | |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 0.374 | 0.249 | 1.453 | |
|---|
Constitutional preference
(Devolution) |
|---|
Independence | -0.289 | 0.136 | 0.749 | * |
|---|
Westminster rule | -1.064 | 0.170 | 0.345 | ** |
|---|
Don't know | -1.097 | 0.306 | 0.334 | ** |
|---|
Awareness of
SE activities
(Not much / nothing at all) |
|---|
Great deal / quite a lot | 0.802 | 0.147 | 2.231 | ** |
|---|
Some | 0.601 | 0.140 | 1.825 | ** |
|---|
Newspaper readership
(Tabloid) |
|---|
None | 0.331 | 0.133 | 1.392 | ** |
|---|
Broadsheet | 0.336 | 0.167 | 1.399 | * |
|---|
Constant | -0.200 | 0.104 | 0.819 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1450
Table 3 How good is the Scottish Executive at
listening to people's views?
Dependent variable coding:
1= Very good / quite good
0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Women (men) | -0.278 | 0.124 | 0.757 | * |
|---|
Highest educational
qualification (None) |
|---|
Degree / Higher education | 0.496 | 0.175 | 1.642 | ** |
|---|
Highers / A levels | 0.341 | 0.198 | 1.406 | |
|---|
Standard grades / O levels | 0.166 | 0.182 | 1.180 | |
|---|
Party Identification
(None) |
|---|
Conservative | -0.073 | 0.266 | 0.929 | |
|---|
Labour | 0.600 | 0.221 | 1.821 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 0.469 | 0.268 | 1.598 | |
|---|
SNP | 0.105 | 0.264 | 1.111 | |
|---|
Other party | 0.403 | 0.338 | 1.497 | |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 0.143 | 0.286 | 1.153 | |
|---|
Trust
SE just about always / most
of the time
(Some of the time / never) | 1.614 | 0.136 | 5.022 | ** |
|---|
Constant | -1.039 | 0.079 | 0.354 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1460
Table 4 Importance of voting in Scottish
Parliament elections
Dependent variable coding:
1= Very important
0=other answers | B | S.E. | Odds ratio Exp(B) | |
|---|
Age (18-29) |
|---|
30-44 | 0.700 | 0.222 | 2.013 | ** |
|---|
45-64 | 1.187 | 0.218 | 3.277 | ** |
|---|
65+ | 1.779 | 0.240 | 5.922 | ** |
|---|
Women (Men) | 0.474 | 0.144 | 1.607 | ** |
|---|
NS-
SEC (Routine
occupations) |
|---|
Employers, managers & professionals | 0.278 | 0.173 | 1.320 | |
|---|
Intermediate occupations | 0.253 | 0.243 | 1.288 | |
|---|
Small employers & own account
workers | -0.577 | 0.275 | 0.561 | * |
|---|
Lower supervisory & technical | -0.267 | 0.216 | 0.766 | |
|---|
Party Identification
(None) |
|---|
Conservative | 1.915 | 0.391 | 6.789 | ** |
|---|
Labour | 2.287 | 0.361 | 9.850 | ** |
|---|
Liberal Democrat | 2.055 | 0.400 | 7.808 | ** |
|---|
SNP | 2.518 | 0.392 | 12.408 | ** |
|---|
Other party | 2.258 | 0.443 | 9.566 | ** |
|---|
DK / Ref / Other ans | 1.392 | 0.409 | 4.021 | ** |
|---|
Constitutional preference
(Devolution) |
|---|
Independence | -0.103 | 0.159 | 0.902 | |
|---|
Westminster rule | -0.876 | 0.193 | 0.416 | ** |
|---|
Don't know | 0.016 | 0.380 | 1.016 | |
|---|
Interest in politics (None at
all) |
|---|
A great deal | 2.945 | 0.374 | 19.003 | ** |
|---|
Quite a lot | 2.171 | 0.306 | 8.763 | ** |
|---|
Some | 1.459 | 0.287 | 4.301 | ** |
|---|
Not very much | 0.527 | 0.294 | 1.694 | |
|---|
Trust
SE just about always / most
of the time (Trust some of the time / never) | 0.462 | 0.140 | 1.587 | ** |
|---|
Constant | -0.569 | 0.134 | 0.566 | |
|---|
Number of cases in model: 1347
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