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7. Future data collection
Stage 2 of this study requires an assessment of the
potential merits of centrally collecting additional
performance monitoring information and other data in order
to inform future
PPP performance evaluations and to
provide recommendations on what data should be
collected.
In assessing the options available to the Scottish
Executive we have considered the following aspects of the
issue:
- The extent to which it is possible and valuable to
collect information at a central level for the
different elements of the
PPP structure. Our recommendation is
that the Scottish Executive should have different
approaches to the construction and operational phases
of projects.
- The 'regulatory burden' that the provision of
information will have on both authorities and
contractors. As far as possible the Scottish Executive
should use existing information and definitions
consistent with those used in
NAO surveys and other data
collection exercises, such as that being carried out by
PUK.
- Whether the information should be collected as part
of regular returns submitted by authorities or
contractors, or as one-off returns (e.g. at particular
phases in the project).
- The availability of non-
PPP comparators. One of the key
constraints in drawing conclusions about
PPPs in this and other studies is
the lack of comparable data for non-
PPP procurements.
- The quality of key performance data (e.g.
KPIs) and cost information. Our
judgement is that, for most operational
PPPs (with the possible exceptions
of prisons, roads and water) there is significant work
required to establish a common set of performance
indicators. This work needs to be completed before it
makes sense to consider how and when to collect such
data.
In this section, we provide our assessment and
recommendations on these issues. Section 7.1 sets out our
proposals in relation to procurement and construction data.
Section 7.2 considers the more difficult area of post
completion data.
As noted earlier in this document, the majority of
research on
PPPs to date has focused on the
procurement and construction stages of the contracts.
Whilst we believe that the Scottish Executive can and
should put some effort into standardising the collection
and management of this information, we do not regard it as
the top priority. Our judgement is that the most valuable
areas for further work are in the operational phase.
7.1. Procurement and construction data
We recommend that data from the procurement and
construction phases of projects is collected centrally.
Standard questionnaires, applicable to projects from any
sector should be completed by procuring authorities at two
fixed points in the process: (i) at financial close; and
(ii) at the start of operations. At both of these points
data should be readily available - and the authority bid
team should be in a position to provide it at relatively
low cost
17. The majority of the data collected would be
factual, although some more subjective questions, for
example about the quality of design or the relationship
with the private sector, could also usefully be
included.
A potentially important area of added value going
forward in seeking to answer the Scottish Executive's key
question would be to collect the same data for non-
PPP procurements. Many of the data
fields would be applicable to design and build contracts.
We therefore recommend the same questionnaire should be
used to collect data from non-
PPP projects (over a fixed capital
value), enabling comparisons to be drawn.
The data fields used should be consistent with the data
collected in stage 1 of this study (which was designed to
be consistent with previous
NAO studies), and with Partnership
UK's database.
Figure 19 and
Figure
20 below show the main categories of
data that should be collected and the research areas that
the data could be used to inform.
Figure 19: Procurement phase data to be collected
at financial close
Data Category | PPP / Non-
PPP | Research Area |
|---|
Project name / description /
sector / parties / contacts etc. | Both | For reference and to enable
segmented analysis by e.g. sector, major
contractor. |
|---|
Timing from
OJEU to financial close | Both | Procurement timescales (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
Number of bidders | Both | Level of competition (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
OBC and
FBC price assumptions | Both | Optimism bias |
|---|
Price data and underlying
costs | Both | Costs of
PPP vs non-
PPP; information for future
business case / affordability projections. |
|---|
Price movements (value and
reasons) | Both | Effectiveness of competition
(i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
Accounting treatment | PPP only | Changes in accounting treatment
over time. |
|---|
Risk transfer | Both (
Design /Construction risks)
PPP only
(Operational risks) | Comparison of risk transfer
between
PPP and non-
PPP projects.
Changes in risk transfer arrangements
over time. |
|---|
Procurement costs | Both | Procurement costs (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
Views on design / innovation /
relationship | Both | Comparison of
PPP with non-
PPP projects. Comparison
with responses to the same questions at later
stages of the same project. |
|---|
Financing details | PPP only | Comparison of financing terms
with
PPP projects in rest of
UK (using
PUK data). |
|---|
Figure 20: Construction phase data to be collected
at operations start
Data Category | PPP / Non-
PPP | Research Area |
|---|
Timing of delivery and reasons
for delay | Both | Construction timescales (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
Price changes and reasons | Both | Delivery within budget (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time.
Flexibility (i)
PPP vs non-
PPP; and (ii) over time. |
|---|
Views on design / innovation /
relationship | Both | Comparison of
PPP with non-
PPP projects. Comparison
with responses to the same questions at earlier
and later stages of the same project. |
|---|
Most of this data is now available for the projects that
responded to the survey. However, it is likely to be a
reasonable amount of work to collect data for all projects,
both those that did not reply to our survey and those that
were not operational at the time of the survey. After that,
we anticipate that it should be relatively easy to track
and collect the data for new projects, although a single
person within Scottish Executive would need to take
responsibility for ensuring that returns are completed to
the required to standard.
Our suggestion would be that the data is collected using
Excel-based questionnaires and is held on a database.
It is of course important to recognise that whilst the
development of this database would highlight differences
between
PPP and non-
PPP projects, or changes in the
performance of
PPP / non-
PPP projects over time, it would not
give the underlying reasons for those differences. It is
likely that this data would highlight areas where further,
more in depth analysis would be required.
7.2. Operational phase data
For the operational phase of projects, there may be
merit in the Scottish Executive seeking to collect
information on unit costs of benchmarked services
18 e.g. soft
FM. This might be of some use to public
sector managers within and potentially across sectors in
managing their contracts. (An alternative or complementary
initiative would be to promote and support networks of
contract managers. This is particularly important in
sectors such as health, where most contract managers are
responsible for a single
PPP contract.)
More generally, we do not believe that Scottish
Executive should not prioritise the central collection of
this data at this stage. This reflects two
observations:
First, we do not believe that there is currently a
standard set of data that could be collected centrally and
used to evaluate systematically the performance of Scottish
PPP projects. In addition few sectors
have yet developed standard performance indicators for all
PPP and non-
PPP projects.
Second, we believe that further work would be needed to
understand the project specific factors (within each
sector) that would lead to explainable variations in cost
and efficiency
19.
Instead, our judgement is that some or all of the
following approaches might be pursued:
- Institute a periodic audit of all
PFI schemes along the lines of the
current work - but also looking in detail at a smaller
number of projects within a particular sector.
- Commission detailed studies into some of the
specific components of
PPP contracts identified in this
Study (e.g. on the levels of
FM service specified in the
contracts and the relative costs of delivery in
different procurement models).
- Commission sector specific studies that (i) seek to
define a small number of standardised performance
indicators and cost data that could be collected for
PPP and non-
PPP projects; and (ii) where
appropriate carry out more detailed benchmarking
studies of performance
Each of these ideas is discussed in more detail
below.
7.2.1. Periodically repeat the analysis carried
out in this study
The analysis of the operational phase of projects
carried out in this study was a 'thin' survey across all
sectors, which aimed to assess views on performance,
flexibility, relationships etc. This type of study needs to
be more than a straightforward data collection exercise;
the most useful insights in our research came from the free
text questionnaire responses and interviews. We also
believe that it makes sense to include a component of work
that focuses in detail on a small number of
PPP and non-
PPP projects within the same sector.
We recommend that the Scottish Executive consider
repeating this type of relatively broad study on a periodic
basis - say every 5 years. The results of Stage 1 of this
research would provide a baseline for such analysis.
7.2.2. Detailed studies into specific
components of
PPPs
Overall, the priority for these studies should be to
report on performance post-construction and the extent to
which operational and life-cycle risks are transferred in
practice. Within this, specific areas of interest might
include:
- Differences in the level and costs of service
delivery of soft and hard
FM, including a more detailed
assessment of the relative merits of transferring both
soft and hard
FM within the contract. Related to
this, it would be useful to explore further the way
that the
SPV structure impacts on performance
in specific cases.
- A more detailed assessment of the costs associated
with the comparative lack of flexibility in
PPP contracts compared to
alternative procurement structures. This analysis might
look in more detail at specific examples of contract
changes within the operational phase.
Sector comparisons (across procurement approaches) on
the life-cycle and condition of assets of similar age.
7.2.3. Commission sector specific
studies
We believe that the most promising approach for the
Scottish Executive to improve the available evidence on the
operational performance of
PPPs and non-
PPPs is to carry out sector specific
studies. There are various approaches to carrying out such
comparative studies.
The simplest approach would involve carrying out an
interview or survey-based study along the lines of this
research. Such studies would need to be carried out
periodically to track performance over time. One option
that the Scottish Executive might consider is to build on
the Audit Scotland report on schools
20 and identify a number of
PPP and non-
PPP schools projects to evaluate over
time. Other sectors would of course be equally interesting,
however the school sectors has the particular advantage of
being a relatively mixed economy in terms of privately and
publicly financed infrastructure.
The weakness with the survey-based approach relates to
the potential for interview bias. A more robust approach is
likely therefore to involve carrying out full comparative
efficiency or 'benchmarking' studies. This analysis would
aim to look at the efficiency of the overall service
offered by a contractor by considering, for example the
relative costs of delivering the 'final' outcomes of the
contract (e.g. the availability of the asset to an agreed
standard). This is the approach that utility regulators
take when seeking to compare the economic efficiency of
regulated companies (e.g in the water and power
sectors).
A starting point for such studies would be the
definition of a standard set of
KPIs for
PPP and non-
PPP projects within the same sector.
Although this is a non-trivial task - since (as noted
above) there is currently a relative lack of comparable
performance indicators - we believe that it could be a
valuable exercise for a number of sectors.
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