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APPENDIX 5: TABLES RELATING TO PHASE 2
PILOTS
Table A5.1: Factors influencing full-time
participation in national qualifications in the first
year after S4 (results of binary logistic regression
model)
| Whole sample | Low attainers |
|---|
Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE |
|---|
Number of Credit awards at
Standard Grade | 0.09 | 0.01 | omitted | |
Standard Grade attainment
(point score) | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
School free-meal entitlement
(zscore) | -0.10 | 0.01 | -0.08 | 0.02 |
Living in low
SES area | -0.13 | 0.03 | -0.03 ns | 0.04 |
C2 in 2001 (vs C1 in 2000) | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.05 ns | 0.06 |
C3 in 2002 (vs C1 in 2000) | 0.54 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 0.06 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot (vs control) | 0.00 ns | 0.04 | 0.03 ns | 0.06 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2001(vs
2000) | 0.16 | 0.06 | 0.13 ns | 0.08 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2002(vs
2000) | 0.21 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.08 |
Reference category | -2.85 | 0.06 | -3.02 | 0.08 |
Notes: Results are shown as log-odds of full-time
participation.
Reference category refers to person in the pre-
EMA baseline cohorts (C1), in the
control area, who attended a school with average free-meal
entitlement, who lived in an area that was not low
SES, and had no credit level awards or
points at Standard Grade.
'ns' denotes the factor is not statistically
significant at the 95% confidence level
Table A5.2: Factors influencing full-time
participation in national qualifications in the second
year after S4 (results of binary logistic regression
model)
| Model 1 | Model 2 |
|---|
Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE |
|---|
Number of Credit awards at
Standard Grade | -0.11 | 0.01 | omitted | |
Standard Grade attainment
(point score) | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.01 |
School free-meal entitlement
(zscore) | -0.02 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.02 |
Living in low
SES area | -0.12 | 0.03 | -0.17 | 0.05 |
C2 in 2002 (vs C1 in 2001) | 0.60 | 0.04 | 0.55 | 0.08 |
C3 in 2003 (vs C1 in 2001) | 0.78 | 0.04 | 0.54 | 0.08 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot (vs control) | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.32 | 0.08 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2002(vs
2001) | -0.11 | 0.06 | -0.15 ns | 0.11 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2003(vs
2001) | 0.02 ns | 0.06 | -0.09 ns | 0.11 |
Reference category | -4.41 | 0.08 | -4.27 | 0.11 |
Notes: Results are shown as log-odds of full-time
participation.
Reference category refers to person in the pre-
EMA baseline cohorts (C1), in the
control area, who attended a school with average free-meal
entitlement, who lived in an area that was not low
SES, and had no credit level awards or
points at Standard Grade.
'ns' denotes the factor is not statistically
significant at the 95% confidence level
Table A5.3: National Qualifications attempted
and passed in the first year after S4, in Phase 2
EMA Pilots and Control
areas
1st year after S4 | C1: 2000 | C2: 2001 | C3: 2002 |
|---|
Glasgow |
Courses attempted | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
Courses passed | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
% courses passed | 72.9 | 75.7 | 67.7 |
Units attempted | 9.2 | 10.3 | 12.3 |
Units passed | 6.6 | 7.4 | 8.5 |
% units passed | 70.8 | 70.5 | 68.0 |
Sample size | 4959 | 4916 | 5145 |
Dundee |
Courses attempted | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
Courses passed | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
% courses passed | 76.4 | 81.9 | 73.2 |
Units attempted | 10.3 | 12.2 | 12.5 |
Units passed | 7.5 | 8.8 | 9.0 |
% units passed | 72.9 | 68.5 | 70.5 |
Sample size | 1528 | 1513 | 1572 |
West Dunbartonshire |
Courses attempted | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.0 |
Courses passed | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
% courses passed | 74.1 | 77.8 | 72.6 |
Units attempted | 9.2 | 10.7 | 12.7 |
Units passed | 6.9 | 7.8 | 10.0 |
% units passed | 76.0 | 73.8 | 78.1 |
Sample size | 1221 | 1202 | 1256 |
Control areas |
Courses attempted | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
Courses passed | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
% courses passed | 76.0 | 77.0 | 70.5 |
Units attempted | 10.1 | 10.3 | 11.8 |
Units passed | 7.3 | 7.5 | 8.2 |
% units passed | 72.8 | 71.6 | 67.3 |
Sample size | 6727 | 6729 | 6805 |
Table A5.4: Factors influencing attainment of
national qualifications in the first year after S4
(results of linear regression model)
| 1. Whole sample | 2. Low attainers | 3. Controlling for college
entries |
Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE |
Number of Credit awards at
Standard Grade | 5.73 | 0.10 | omitted | | 5.66 | 0.10 |
Standard Grade attainment
(point score) | 3.07 | 0.05 | 2.95 | 0.05 | 3.09 | 0.05 |
School free-meal entitlement
(zscore) | -1.43 | 0.16 | -0.90 | 0.20 | -1.58 | 0.16 |
Living in low
SES area | -3.66 | 0.35 | -1.82 | 0.51 | -2.90 | 0.33 |
C2 in 2001 (vs C1 in 2000) | 6.35 | 0.54 | 2.33 | 0.69 | 7.13 | 0.56 |
C3 in 2002 (vs C1 in 2000) | 9.44 | 0.54 | 3.57 | 0.69 | 10.82 | 0.56 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot (vs control) | -1.16 | 0.53 | 0.32 ns | 0.68 | -0.98 ns | 0.54 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2001(vs
2000) | 2.46 | 0.74 | 2.09 | 0.95 | 2.52 | 0.74 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2002(vs
2000) | 4.68 | 0.73 | 3.49 | 0.95 | 4.57 | 0.73 |
NQ at college | | | | | 2.53 | 0.89 |
NQ at college in 2001 | | | | | -5.48 | 1.07 |
NQ at college in 2002 | | | | | -7.98 | 1.04 |
NQ at college in Phase 2
Pilots | | | | | -1.43 ns | 0.85 |
Reference category | -10.97 | 0.73 | -9.40 | 0.82 | -12.08 | 0.72 |
Note: Results are shown in terms of the attainment point
score.
Reference category refers to person in the pre-
EMA baseline cohorts (C1), in the
control area, who attended a school with average free-meal
entitlement, who lived in an area that was not low
SES, and had no credit level awards or
points at Standard Grade.
'ns' denotes the factor is not statistically
significant at the 95% confidence level
Table A5.5: National Qualifications attempted
and passed in the second year after S4, in Phase 2
EMA Pilots and Control
areas
2nd year after S4 | C1: 2001 | C2: 2002 | C3: 2003 |
|---|
Glasgow |
Courses attempted | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Courses passed | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
% courses passed | 78.4 | 73.8 | 58.3 |
Units attempted | 4.6 | 5.6 | 5.8 |
Units passed | 3.3 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
% units passed | 71.6 | 67.9 | 67.1 |
Sample size | 4959 | 4916 | 5145 |
Dundee |
Courses attempted | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Courses passed | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
% courses passed | 81.5 | 75.0 | 54.1 |
Units attempted | 4.9 | 6.2 | 7.0 |
Units passed | 3.6 | 4.4 | 4.8 |
% units passed | 72.8 | 69.9 | 67.3 |
Sample size | 1528 | 1513 | 1572 |
West Dunbartonshire |
Courses attempted | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Courses passed | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
% courses passed | 78.0 | 76.2 | 61.3 |
Units attempted | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6.8 |
Units passed | 3.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
% units passed | 73.7 | 75.5 | 71.2 |
Sample size | 1221 | 1202 | 1256 |
Control areas |
Courses attempted | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Courses passed | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
% courses passed | 78.9 | 73.0 | 61.2 |
Units attempted | 4.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
Units passed | 3.3 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
% units passed | 74.5 | 66.7 | 68.1 |
Sample size | 6727 | 6729 | 6805 |
Table A5.6: Factors influencing attainment of
national qualifications over two years after S4
(results of linear regression model)
| Whole sample | Low attainers |
|---|
Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE |
|---|
Number of Credit awards at
Standard Grade | 9.11 | 0.17 | omitted | |
Standard Grade attainment
(point score) | 4.80 | 0.08 | 4.41 | 0.07 |
School free-meal entitlement
(zscore) | -1.96 | 0.26 | -1.34 | 0.30 |
Living in low
SES area | -6.39 | 0.58 | -3.37 | 0.78 |
C2 in 2002 (vs C1 in 2001) | 10.55 | 0.89 | 4.07 | 1.06 |
C3 in 2003 (vs C1 in 2001) | 13.96 | 0.88 | 4.68 | 1.06 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot (vs control) | -0.57 ns | 0.87 | 1.50 ns | 1.04 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2002(vs
2001) | 2.97 | 1.22 | 2.53 ns | 1.45 |
Phase 2
EMA pilot in 2003(vs
2001) | 5.62 | 1.21 | 4.08 | 1.45 |
Reference category | -18.37 | 1.20 | -14.20 | 1.26 |
Notes: Results are shown as attainment point score.
Reference category refers to person in the pre-
EMA baseline cohorts (C1), in the
control area, who attended a school with average free-meal
entitlement, who lived in an area that was not low
SES, and had no credit level awards or
points at Standard Grade.
'ns' denotes the factor is not statistically
significant at the 95% confidence level
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