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Measurement of the Extent of Youth Crime in Scotland

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Measurement of the Extent of Youth Crime in Scotland

7 FINAL CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS

7.1 It is possible from existing data sources to provide estimates of youth crime levels in Scotland, but given the limitations of these sources and the number of significant assumptions that had to be made to produce them, they should only be treated as being indicative of the true level of youth crime and not, in any way, definitive counts.

7.2 We estimate that young people are responsible for just over 40% of all crimes and offences in Scotland, with much higher proportions for crimes involving vandalism and fire-raising and dishonesty. Most youth crime is theft-related.

7.3 This exercise should be seen as a "one-off". We would not advise that the same method is used year-on-year to track levels of youth crime. This is principally because criminal justice policy and the implementation of this policy by the criminal justice agencies will be the main variables in determining the number of youths apprehended for offences rather than the changing behaviour of youths. For example, any "crackdown" on certain types of crime associated with young people, such as vandalism, should see the proportion of young people going through the Children's Hearing system or the courts increasing, even if the number of these offences being committed by young people remains the same, and, as a consequence, our method of estimating youth crime will show an increase in crimes due to young people even when none has occurred.

7.4 It is much more difficult to produce estimates of anti-social behaviour types. In fact, we would conclude that, with the exception of criminal forms of anti-social behaviour like vandalism and fire-raising that are separately recorded in the crime statistics, we do not think that it is possible to provide estimates of types anti-social behaviour from existing data sources. Even if we could, it would perhaps be unhelpful in any case given that the definition of anti-social behaviour is so subjective and different types of behaviour affect different people in different ways. We would argue that it is much more helpful to consider anti-social behaviour in terms of the number of people it affects and its impact on people. There are already existing sources that attempt to do this, like the SHS. The SHS found littering and groups of young people hanging around to be those most commonly identified by people, but it is not clear from the survey as to just how significant a problem such behaviour is for communities or how much of anti-social behaviour is attributable to young people.

7.5 The concept of fear of youth crime is even more problematic. There are no existing sources that attempt to measure this concept and there remains much discussion within the criminal justice field as to what "fear of crime" actually constitutes. Again, there is evidence from sources like Eurobarometer, that attempt to measure the fear of crime (not just youth crime) and, again, we would suggest that this concept is considered in terms of its impact on people. From what evidence that is available, there does seem to be more anxiety about crime in Scotland and the rest of the UK compared to most of the rest of Europe, particularly violent crime, car crime and burglary.

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Page updated: Monday, April 4, 2005