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Cancer in Scotland: Sustaining Change
Cancer Incidence Projections for Scotland (2001-2020)
An Aid to Planning Cancer Services
FOREWORD
Cancer Scenarios published in 2001 mapped out how cancer in all its forms might affect Scots over the subsequent decade and provided a foundation for forward planning. The projections indicated a likely continuing increasing trend in incidence over the next 10-15 years.
It is important to check these projections every few years using up-to-date information as it becomes available. This document reviews those cancer projections and extends them to 2020. It is based on the Government Actuary Department population projections and the most recent cancer incidence figures up to 2000. Although incidence is largely on track compared with the projections in 2001 the underlying trends have changed considerably for some cancers.
We hope that NHSScotland will find this update as useful as the original
Cancer Scenarios in planning cancer services in the longer term.

E M Armstrong
Chief Medical Officer
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