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SCOTLAND'S SOCIAL CARE LABOUR MARKET
Footnotes
1. The proportion of Social Work Activities Employment in Scotland has risen from 4.5% in 1994 to 5% in 2003. (Labour Force Survey)
2. See Appendix (iii) for regional composition maps
3. Policy development impacts refer to rapid change in the sector or a series of changes which impact both on services and the staff required to provide them.
4. Social work activities (SIC 85.3) is the category name used by the office for national statistics, however this covers the broad concept of social care including early years and childcare where there is no significant education role. Where there is a formal educational role, employment will fall under Education (SIC 80). See following website link for exact definitions of social work activities, health, and education SIC codes: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/methods_quality/sic/structure_sectionl_m_n.asp#sectionn
5. The 95% confidence interval for 2003 is 105,000-131,000.
6. Total gross third party payments in 02/03 were 999,798,000. 2002/3 data is however not directly comparable with previous financial returns due to methodological changes so trend data is not directly analysed with respect to third party payments in previous years.
7. Future Skills Scotland modelling implies around a 19% exit rate from the Scottish labour market over the 5 year period 2002-2007. This is assumed similar across all sectors in the economy.
8. See section 4 for full analysis of PIR dataset including description of coverage of sector regulated by the Care Commission.
9. The types of service include: Care homes for children and young people, care homes for adults, early education and childcare, hospice care, support services, and nurse agencies.
10. These category bands are taken from the Annual Business Inquiry, ONS. The European Commission classifies organisations that have less that 200 employees as small and medium sized enterprises.
11. Full report "Career Pathways in Scottish Social Services" available at: http://www.sssc.uk.com/SSSC.Web/index.aspx?group=workforce&itemID=461
12. In brief, this aims to encourage talented people to come to Scotland to work and study. For further information on Fresh Talent initiative: http://www.scotlandistheplace.com/stitp/sco_display_home.jsp;jsessionid=DAD98AED949DB78630890116047398A2?p_applic=CCC&p_service=Content.show&pContentID=440&
13. One of the Care Accolade winners (2004) is a project in Glasgow that helps the unemployed in social inclusion partnership areas, providing support in training for social care qualifications that under the Regulation of Care Act registration requirements. Information at: http://www.greatereasterhouse-pathfinder.com/news/multiplier.html
14. The support ratio is defined as the number of persons of working age relative to the consuming population. The dependency ratio is a similar concept used to show the relation between the numbers of youths and old aged in relation to those of working age. This is specifically important in assessing the burden on the "pay as you go" welfare state system.
15. Labour market clearing refers to when both labour supply and labour demand adjust to equate one another.
16. Summary of assumptions underlying the principle projection found at: http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population/2002/methodology/assumptions.htm
17. The latter two will change gradually with the change in the state pension age between 2010 and 2020, to 65 for both males and females, and this is taken into account in the projections.
18. Source: Children's Social Work Statistics, Scottish Executive
19. Absolute numbers of Looked After Children have remained fairly stable over the last 3 years.
20. Recently published Community Care Range and Capacity Review provides modelling of demographic impacts under various scenarios: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/00019665
21. See glossary for definition of economic activity rate
22. The economic activity rate however varies considerably throughout regions in Scotland.
23. Various employment characteristics of older workers are discussed in Hollywood et al (2003)
24. Labour Force Survey Data (Spring 2001) taken from Future Skills Scotland Scottish Labour Market Report 2003
25. Crowding out effects may occur when resources (in terms of labour, capital, finance) that could be used within the private sector to increase national income are otherwise used by the public sector. However this tends to only occur when the economy has reached "full employment".
26. Report by the Concours Group discusses human resource implications in relation to US demographic data (Add Link)
27. Borsch-Supan (2003) P19
28. Borsch-Supan (2003) P23
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