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Housing Trends in Scotland: Quarter ending 30 September 2003

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Statistical Bulletin HSG/2004/2:
Housing Trends in Scotland: Quarter ending 30 September 2003

Mortgages at completion stage: 1993 to 30 September 2003

Table 5

Period 1

Number of loans (000) 2

Mix-adjusted House Price Index 2002=100 3

All purchasers

Purchasers other than ex-local authority tenants

Percentage of first time purchasers

Average house price ()

Percentage of price advanced 4

Average recorded income () 5

Mix-adjusted average house price () 6

Percentage of price advanced

Average recorded income ()

1993

na

75

49,568

74

19,233

59,098

78

20,852

56

1994

na

76

50,651

75

19,928

59,758

78

21,708

57

1995

53

77

53,143

76

20,928

60,488

79

22,292

54

1996

65

79

56,674

75

21,877

61,984

79

22,763

50

1997

74

84

57,883

75

22,450

65,973

79

23,991

50

1998

72

89

63,585

75

24,151

69,690

78

25,225

52

1999

83

91

69,312

75

25,936

71,164

77

26,519

50

2000

78

93

69,961

77

26,877

73,685

80

27,589

49

2001

86

97

73,570

76

28,495

76,400

80

28,712

41

2002

94

110

77,655

73

28,669

86,232

78

28,738

30

2002 1st Qtr

18

100

68,336

72

26,966

79,349

82

27,048

31

2002 2nd Qtr

23

109

81,021

75

30,651

81,871

78

31,564

27

2002 3rd Qtr

27

114

85,680

73

31,677

85,758

76

32,600

30

2002 4th Qtr

26

117

87,807

72

31,650

87,716

75

32,199

31

2003 1st Qtr

15

113

96,105

64

29,489

82,897

74

28,895

24

2003 2nd Qtr

20

122

104,030

63

31,733

89,558

73

31,417

23

2003 3rd Qtr

21

130

103,944

70

33,353

95,342

72

32,370

18

Source: Survey of Mortgage Lenders, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister.
Note: Figures since 1993 have been revised, substantially in some cases, due to changes in methodology (see Notes and Definitions). Due to rounding, the total shown may not be equal to the sum of constituent parts.
1. The relatively small sample sizes and effects of seasonality mean that quarter on quarter changes should be interpreted with caution.
2. The numbers of loans are now estimated by applying the house purchasing activity rate for England and Wales to the estimated privately-owned housing stock in Scotland (see Notes and Definitions).
3. The House Price Index was revised in 2003. See Notes and Definitions.
4. The percentage of price advanced has been revised. Percentages are now calculated on a case-by case basis and then averaged. Previously the percentages were derived on the overall average price and advance.
5. Revised June 2004.
6. The mix-adjusted average prices are determined using a set of index weights which are revised each January to reflect the pattern of property transactions during the previous three years. Consequently, while house prices within the year are comparable - they are all based on the same weights - house prices between years cannot be compared because the previous and current year's weights are different. The index itself is constructed on a chain-linked basis, which enables year-on-year comparisons to be made. For example, this means that the year-on-year change in the index for July is effectively the change in the average price from July in the previous year to January in the current year (using the previous year's weights) combined with the change in the average price from January to July in the current year using the current year's weights. Therefore, the year-on-year change in the index is not the same as the year-on-year change in the mix-adjusted average price. 2002 figures revised in June 2004.

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