The Scottish Government

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CONTENTS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background and Scope of the Report
1.2 Structure of the Report
2. BACKGROUND
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Public Transport Targets and the Policy Background
2.3 Trends in the Scottish Bus Market
2.4 Trends in the Scottish Rail Market
2.5 Transport Sector Labour Market in Scotland
2.6 Availability of Data
2.7 Summary
3. STUDY METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Analysis of Existing Data and Additional Survey Work
3.3 Discussions with Public Sector Bodies
3.4 Discussions with Public Transport Service Providers
4. ANALYSIS OF BUS CAPACITY UTILISATION
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Current Bus Capacity Utilisation in Each of the Four Study Cities
4.3 Bus Overcrowding by Cordon Crossing Point
4.4 Bus Overcrowding by Route Number and Crossing Point
4.5 Bus Overcrowding by Cordon Crossing Point and Time
4.6 Trends in Bus Service Supply and Demand (Main Bus Operators)
4.7 Detailed Case Study: Lothian Buses plc (Edinburgh)
4.8 Summary
5. ANALYSIS OF RAIL CAPACITY UTILISATION
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Rail Infrastructure Capacity Utilisation
5.3 Summary of Infrastructure-Related Issues
5.4 Actual Versus Planned Capacity Provision
5.5 On-train Capacity Utilisation
5.6 Known Rolling Stock Developments
5.7 Anglo-Scottish Infrastructure and Train Capacity Issues
5.8 Summary
6. KEY ISSUES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR BUS TARGETS
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Implications for Bus in Glasgow
6.3 Implications for Bus in Edinburgh
6.4 Implications for Bus in Aberdeen
6.5 Implications for Bus in Dundee
6.6 Summary
7. KEY ISSUES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR RAIL TARGETS
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Implications for Rail in Glasgow
7.3 Implications for Rail in Edinburgh
7.4 Implications for Rail in Aberdeen
7.5 Implications for Rail in Dundee
7.6 Summary
8. THE VIEWS OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS
8.1 Introduction
8.2 The Targets and How They Were Determined
8.3 Current Capacity Problems and their Relationship to Targets
8.4 Achieving the Targets
8.5 Capital and Revenue Funding to Enhance Capacity
8.6 Problems in Working to Meet Targets
8.7 Monitoring and Review of Targets
8.8 Summary
9. THE VIEW OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS
9.1 Introduction
9.2 The Bus Industry
9.3 The Rail Industry
10. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
10.1 Key Findings
10.2 Recommendations
REFERENCES
APPENDIX 1: PLANS OF CITY CENTRE BUS CORDONS
APPENDIX 2: DETAILED OVERCROWDING ANALYSIS FROM BUS SURVEYS
APPENDIX 3: SUMMARY TABLES FOR CHANGES IN LOTHIAN BUSES SERVICE PROVISION TO SELECTED KEY TRIP GENERATORS