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Indicators of progress: Definitions, data, baseline and trends information

YOUNG PEOPLE

Milestone 7: Halving the proportion of 16-19 year olds who are not in education, training or employment

Indicator

This milestone is directly measured by information from one indicator. The source of the information is based on data from the Labour Force Survey which is run by the Office for National Statistics. The indicator is defined as the proportion of 16-19 year olds who are not classed as a student, or in employment (including government training). The information is taken from the spring quarter of the Labour Force Survey.

Availability of data

Information at a Scottish level is available from 1992 and is available for the first time in the SJ report disaggregated by gender. However given the current size of the survey it is not possible to provide sub-Scotland figures disaggregated by disability or ethnicity.

16-19 year olds not in education, training or employment

The figure for 2002 estimates that 14 % of 16-19 year olds are not in education, training or employment. This figure has stayed fairly stable from year to year with the estimate for 2000 and 2001 both being 14 %.

Chart 7a shows that since 1992 the estimate has remained fairly stable between 13 - 16%. The figure for 2002 represents a very small increase on the baseline figure of 1999, although more information is required to establish if this is a sustained trend or whether the year on year fluctuations are due to the sample size of the survey.

Chart 7a: Percentage of 16-19 year olds not in education, training or employment

Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics

Gender analysis

Chart 7b shows the analysis split by gender for the first time. The main conclusion is that up to 1998 there was very little difference in the proportion of young males and females who were not in education, training or employment. Since base year (1999) the difference in the proportion of young males and females not in education, training or employment has been increasing, with young females more likely to be in education, training or employment. The gap between the genders has recorded a small decrease in 2002 compared with 2001.

Chart 7b: Percentage of 16-19 year olds not in education, training or employment, by gender

Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics

Background data

Table 7c: Percentage of 16-19 year olds not in education, training or employment

Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics
Note: These figures are central estimates and have been rounded to the nearest whole number.

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