Statistical Bulletin HSG/2002/4 - Household Projections for Scotland: 2000-Based

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Household Projections for Scotland:2000-Based

5.3 Projected Households in Scotland by Age Group of Head of Household (Table 3)

Between 2000 and 2014, it is projected that around one third of households will be headed by a person aged 60 or over whilst only around 14 per cent will be headed by a person under the age of 30 throughout the projection period.

Households headed by a person aged 35-44 are estimated to account for a further 20 per cent of all households in 2000 and their share of all households is projected to increase to 21 per cent before dropping to 16 per cent by 2014.

The largest percentage changes projected over the period amongst the 10 age groups, are increases in households headed by a person aged 16-24 (35 per cent) and those headed by a person aged 85 or over (32 per cent). The largest percentage decrease is projected for households headed by a person aged 30-34 (projected to fall by 13 per cent).

Table 3: Projected Households in Scotland by Age Group of Head of Household

Age Group

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

% change
2000 - 2014

All Ages

2,203,160

2,222,100

2,239,470

2,257,310

2,276,310

2,294,620

2,313,210

2,332,380

2,351,940

2,370,450

2,389,290

2,407,810

2,426,080

2,444,700

2,461,740

12%

16-24

126,760

130,320

135,400

140,220

144,440

147,650

150,440

154,380

158,610

162,390

165,240

166,920

168,180

169,440

170,560

35%

25-29

165,570

159,060

153,290

150,080

151,300

154,100

157,760

162,540

166,790

168,420

170,160

172,190

175,080

178,520

181,470

10%

30-34

219,240

218,160

213,450

206,920

198,700

191,150

183,190

176,040

171,880

172,860

175,660

179,440

184,530

188,940

190,370

-13%

35-44

447,080

455,510

463,570

469,910

473,860

475,160

475,460

471,820

465,080

454,420

442,490

432,270

418,880

406,680

398,090

-11%

45-54

381,550

388,560

386,550

389,490

395,360

404,010

414,000

425,590

436,520

447,490

459,030

466,660

473,810

479,200

482,140

26%

55-59

161,650

165,620

178,350

185,410

190,220

194,760

197,710

189,670

186,630

186,130

187,190

190,350

195,530

200,650

206,120

28%

60-64

160,500

159,410

159,660

161,570

164,060

165,440

169,530

182,770

190,140

195,210

199,940

203,000

194,940

192,010

191,650

19%

65-74

296,970

297,240

298,020

299,780

300,900

301,720

301,000

301,900

305,690

309,760

311,950

315,120

328,930

338,260

345,690

16%

75-84

192,670

196,470

199,870

203,560

207,630

207,620

208,760

210,190

211,870

213,640

216,150

218,660

221,620

225,140

228,140

18%

85+

51,170

51,760

51,310

50,370

49,850

52,990

55,370

57,480

58,720

60,140

61,510

63,200

64,590

65,860

67,520

32%

Percentage

Age Group

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

All Ages

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

16-24

6

6

6

6

6

6

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

25-29

8

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

30-34

10

10

10

9

9

8

8

8

7

7

7

7

8

8

8

35-44

20

20

21

21

21

21

21

20

20

19

19

18

17

17

16

45-54

17

17

17

17

17

18

18

18

19

19

19

19

20

20

20

55-59

7

7

8

8

8

8

9

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

60-64

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

65-74

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

14

14

14

75-84

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

85+

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

3

3

3

3

3

3

Page updated: Friday, May 19, 2006